Contazara Zaragoza vs BM Guadalajara: match prediction on 13 September 2026

Contazara Zaragoza win is my proposed outcome, built on the gap between their ten points from five matches and BM Guadalajara's zero. The visitors have not taken a point in any of their last five fixtures, while the hosts have won three and drawn once.

Contazara Zaragoza have collected 10 points from their last five matches, scoring 142 goals and conceding 126. They beat Alcobendas 31:20 away on 9 May, then edged Agustinos Alicante 28:27 at home on 2 May. Their only blemishes came against Proin Triana, who won 31:24 at home on 25 April, and Benidorm, who drew 33:33 at home on 11 April. The away win at Alcobendas shows they can perform outside their stadium.

BM Guadalajara have lost all five of their last five matches, scoring 145 goals and conceding 174. Their defeats include a 33:29 loss to Burgos away on 25 August, a 30:28 home loss to Eivissa Esp on 15 August, and three losses in Liga ASOBAL competition. The heaviest came against Barcelona, who won 38:24 at home on 9 May. The visitors have not won or drawn in any of their recent fixtures across all competitions.

The model expects Contazara Zaragoza to score 10.9 goals and BM Guadalajara 8.1, though the latter figure appears inconsistent with handball scoring patterns. The model gives a 0% probability for a draw and 0% for both teams scoring, which does not align with how handball matches typically unfold. These figures should be treated as internal estimates rather than definitive predictions.

No head-to-head record is available for this fixture, and there is no information about league standings or team news. The database lists BM Guadalajara in Liga ASOBAL rather than División de Honor Plata, which raises questions about the competitive level at which each side operates. No odds history or venue details have been confirmed.

This conclusion stops holding if BM Guadalajara can contain Contazara Zaragoza's attack or if the home side underperform relative to their recent scoring average. A draw would also invalidate the prediction, though the model assigns no probability to that outcome. The visitors would need to improve significantly on their defensive record to prevent a comfortable home victory.