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70%
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CSM Constanța vs Potaissa Turda: match prediction on 13 October 2026
CSM Constanța
Potaissa Turda
Prediction for
Win: CSM Constanța
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
52%
1
48%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 16:05- КСМ Констанца — 7. place, 4 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Потайсса Турда — 8. place, 4 points after 4 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
- КСМ Констанца, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Потайсса Турда, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 10 games, КСМ Констанца — 4, 2 draws, Потайсса Турда — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
CSM Constanța
LLWWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Potaissa Turda
WWDWW
4 wins · 1 draw
Head to head 10
4CSM Constanța
2Draw
4Potaissa Turda
- 4 AprCSM Constanța — Potaissa Turda27:31
- 26 Oct 2025Potaissa Turda — CSM Constanța31:26
- 5 Apr 2025Potaissa Turda — CSM Constanța34:31
- 8 Feb 2025CSM Constanța — Potaissa Turda26:27
- 25 Aug 2024Potaissa Turda — CSM Constanța29:35
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 16:05CSM Constanța are the pick for this encounter, the model gives CSM Constanța a 52% chance. The model projects 27.1 goals for the hosts and 27 for Potaissa Turda, and the narrow edge in expected goals points to the home side.
Both sides arrive level on four points after four league matches. CSM Constanța have won twice and drawn twice without a defeat, while Potaissa Turda have one win, one draw and two losses.
The most recent clash ended 27:31 in favour of Potaissa Turda at CSM Constanța's ground on 4 April 2026. Before that the hosts had won 26:27 at home in February 2025. Potaissa Turda also won 31:26 away in October 2025 and 34:31 at home in April 2025. CSM Constanța claimed victories in the Super Cup in August 2024 and the Romanian Cup in March 2024.
CSM Constanța sit seventh in the standings, Potaissa Turda eighth. The gap between them is one place and the points are identical. Potaissa Turda's European Cup campaign has occupied two matches in September 2026 against Konjuh Živinice, both won. That additional fixture load could factor into how the match unfolds.
The model expects both sides to score, with a 0% probability for a draw and a 0% probability for three or more goals beyond the projected totals. A narrow home victory.
The 31:26 away win in October 2025 demonstrated their ability to score freely on the road against this opponent, and a repeat would shift the balance entirely.