Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Erlangen vs Hannover-Burgdorf: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Erlangen
Hannover-Burgdorf
Prediction for
Win: Erlangen
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
56%
1
44%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02- Эрланген — 16. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Ганновер-Бургдорф — 8. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Эрланген, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Ганновер-Бургдорф, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Эрланген — 2, 1 draws, Ганновер-Бургдорф — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Erlangen
LWLDL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Hannover-Burgdorf
DWWDW
3 wins · 2 draws
Head to head 9
2Erlangen
1Draw
6Hannover-Burgdorf
- 10 FebErlangen — Hannover-Burgdorf29:30
- 26 Sep 2025Hannover-Burgdorf — Erlangen26:32
- 2 Mar 2025Erlangen — Hannover-Burgdorf33:33
- 15 Dec 2024Hannover-Burgdorf — Erlangen31:25
- 2 Jun 2024Hannover-Burgdorf — Erlangen27:23
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02Hannover-Burgdorf win. The visitors have won five of the last six meetings and arrive with momentum from a victory over Rhein-Neckar Löwen, while Erlangen carry a draw from their opening match and a poor run of one win in five.
Hannover-Burgdorf sit on 2 points from their opening game, having beaten Rhein-Neckar Löwen 32:31 at home on 30 August. Erlangen have 0 points after drawing their first match, though the exact result is not provided in the dossier. The visitors' recent five-match record shows two wins, two draws and one loss with 158 goals scored and 151 conceded. Erlangen's last five yielded one win, zero draws and four losses, with 136 goals for and 141 against.
The head-to-head record since August 2023 runs heavily in Hannover-Burgdorf's favour... The previous home game for Hannover-Burgdorf against Erlangen on 26 September 2025 ended 26:32 to Erlangen. The pattern of results gives the visitors a clear psychological edge.
League positions after one match each show Hannover-Burgdorf in 8th place and Erlangen in 16th. The model expects Erlangen to score 29.5 goals and Hannover-Burgdorf 27.3, but the draw probability is listed at 0%. These figures suggest a close contest on paper, yet the historical record and current form point toward the visitors. Erlangen's defensive record in their last five—conceding 28.2 goals per match—raises questions about their ability to contain Hannover-Burgdorf's attack, which averaged 31.6 goals per game in the same period.
In handball, a margin of two or three goals is common, and Erlangen's single win in five matches came against HSG Hanau in a DHB-Pokal fixture, not a Bundesliga opponent.
Scenarios such as Erlangen's goalkeeper performing above their season average, Hannover-Burgdorf suffering an early injury to a key attacker, or a red card for either side would alter the dynamic significantly. The visitors' tendency to close out games could work against them if Erlangen find a way to apply sustained pressure in the final quarter.
The head-to-head dominance and Hannover-Burgdorf's superior form outweigh the model's expected goals projection.