Gorenje vs Trimo Trebnje: match prediction on 14 October 2026

Trimo Trebnje are the pick, built on their two-point advantage in the table and their dominance in the head-to-head record. The prediction shifts if Gorenje's home advantage proves decisive — they have not lost a match all season, and Trimo's away form has shown occasional vulnerability.

Gorenje sit seventh with eight points from seven games, unbeaten in the league so far. Their last five outings tell a different story: three wins and two defeats, including a 30:31 loss away at Skofljica and a 27:30 home defeat to Slovenj Gradec. They have scored 146 goals and conceded 142 in that stretch, suggesting a side that can produce but also leaks goals.

Their last five matches produced four victories and one defeat — a 26:31 home loss to Slovan stands out. They have netted 171 goals while conceding 144, which points to a more potent attack than Gorenje's.

The head-to-head record runs in Trimo's favour across six meetings. They won four, Gorenje took one, and there was one draw. The most recent encounter on 20 December 2025 ended 30:28 to Trimo Trebnje, and before that a 23:26 victory on 4 October 2025.

Trimo Trebnje are expected to win, with the model predicting a 28.9 to 26.8 scoreline.

There are no grounds to back Gorenje despite their unbeaten league record. They have drawn three of their seven games, which suggests a side that struggles to close out matches. Trimo's single defeat came at home against Slovan; away they have won both trips to Skofljica and Celje convincingly.

The prediction would change if Gorenje can maintain their defensive solidity at home. They have not lost a league game this season, and Trimo have conceded 31 goals in two of their last five matches. A tight contest where Gorenje's home advantage tips the balance remains possible.