Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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HC Saratov
Prediction for
Win: Zenit Saint Petersburg
62%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 12
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 16:13Zenit Saint Petersburg are set to extend their perfect record against HC Saratov when the sides meet at the start of the Superleague season. The visitors have won all 12 encounters in recent years, sit second in the table with six points from three games, and the model expects them to outscore their hosts by roughly five goals. That margin reflects a gulf in form and results that has not closed since the previous campaign. The table tells the same story: the last five games show Saratov have lost all five, conceding 165 goals while scoring 148, whereas Zenit have won four of five, with only a 25:26 friendly defeat to SKA Minsk interrupting their run. Over the past two seasons Zenit have won every meeting — 39:28 and 41:23 at home, 37:26 and 33:40 on the road, plus a 23:37 victory at Saratov's ground last August. The most recent encounter, a 39:28 Superleague win for Zenit in March, followed the same pattern. The simulation projects 32 goals for Zenit and 27 for Saratov, a difference of nearly five. The model assigns a 0% probability to a draw and 0% probability of a stalemate, a blowout. Those figures align with the historical pattern and the current table positions. A draw would suit Saratov, and given how they tend to run the clock down in tight games, that is the main threat. A key injury forces a reshuffle and the model breaks down. Without such events, the visitors are clear favourites.