Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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HSC Suhr Aarau vs St. Gallen: match prediction on 2 September 2026
HSC Suhr Aarau
St. Gallen
Prediction for
Win: St. Gallen
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
48%
1
52%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:22- ХСК Зур Аарау — 8. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Санкт-Галлен — 5. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- ХСК Зур Аарау, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Санкт-Галлен, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 12 games, ХСК Зур Аарау — 3, 1 draws, Санкт-Галлен — 8
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
HSC Suhr Aarau
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
St. Gallen
LWLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 12
3HSC Suhr Aarau
1Draw
8St. Gallen
- 1 AprSt. Gallen — HSC Suhr Aarau31:23
- 12 Nov 2025HSC Suhr Aarau — St. Gallen29:29
- 17 Sep 2025St. Gallen — HSC Suhr Aarau38:29
- 23 Feb 2025St. Gallen — HSC Suhr Aarau31:27
- 23 Nov 2024HSC Suhr Aarau — St. Gallen23:26
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:22St. Gallen to win — 65% confidence
St. Gallen carry momentum into this fixture after opening their NLA campaign with a victory, while HSC Suhr Aarau can only point to a single draw. The visitors have dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning eight of the last twelve meetings compared to three for the hosts, and the model assigns them a marginal advantage with 27.7 expected goals against 26.9 for Suhr Aarau.
St. Gallen sit fifth with two points from a win, while Suhr Aarau remain eighth with none from a draw. Both sides have played five matches over the broader period and drawn level on results — two victories and three defeats each — but the goal tallies reveal a slight difference in efficiency. St. Gallen have scored 144 and conceded 155, while Suhr Aarau have taken in 141 goals against 156 shipped.
The model's expected goals suggest a tight contest. A draw is priced at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and three or more goals combined at 0%. That combination points to a decisive result rather than a stalemate, with the visitors' slight edge in the projection carrying weight given their recent dominance in this pairing.
Suhr Aarau's home record in the head-to-head shows they can compete — the October 2024 victory and the November 2025 draw demonstrate that. But St. Gallen have won three of the last four meetings, and the most recent encounter at their own venue ended in an eight-goal margin.
The prediction holds as long as St. Gallen maintain their recent superiority in this fixture. A draw would suit Suhr Aarau — and given how they tend to run the clock down in tight games, that is the main threat to the prediction. If the hosts can replicate their home performances from earlier this season and find a way to neutralise the visitors' attacking threat, the model's edge shifts away from the visitors.