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Jeziorak vs SMS Kwidzyn: match prediction on 10 October 2026

I Liga Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa w Iławie Iława Hit Match page
Jeziorak SMS Kwidzyn

Prediction for

Win: Jeziorak

69%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

69% 1
31% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 8 Oct, 16:45

Jeziorak beat SMS Kwidzyn 44-31

Jeziorak secured a 44-31 victory over SMS Kwidzyn in the I-Liga on 10 October 2026. The result extended Jeziorak's perfect recent record against their opponents, who suffered a defeat consistent with their current form. The home side moved to 9 points following three wins and one draw from four league matches, while the visitors remained on 6 points after two wins and two draws.

Jeziorak's performance aligned with their recent statistical output. Over their previous five fixtures, the team scored 184 goals while conceding 148, averaging 36.8 goals per game. In this match, they exceeded that average, scoring 44 goals. SMS Kwidzyn, by contrast, had been averaging 31 goals per game in their last five outings, including two victories and three defeats, and fell short of that mark with 31 goals in the loss.

The outcome matched the expectations of a prediction published prior to the fixture, which predicted Jeziorak to win with 69 per cent confidence. The model also anticipated a scoreline close to 35.8 goals for Jeziorak and 28.5 for SMS Kwidzyn. The final result surpassed the model's projections in both categories, reflecting a performance above the expected mean.

This match marked the eighth meeting between the two clubs recorded in the database. Jeziorak won all eight encounters, maintaining a 100 per cent win rate in the head-to-head record.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 8 Oct, 16:45
  • Ежорак — 6. place, 9 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • СМС Квидзын — 7. place, 6 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Ежорак, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • СМС Квидзын, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, Ежорак — 8, СМС Квидзын — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Jeziorak WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss
SMS Kwidzyn WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 8

8Jeziorak 0Draw 0SMS Kwidzyn
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+