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Kaerjeng HB vs Berchem: match prediction on 9 September 2026

AXA League Kaerjenger Dribbel Bascharage Miss Match page
Kaerjeng HB Berchem

Prediction for

Win: Berchem

64%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

36% 1
64% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 19:43

Draw ends Berchem streak at Kaerjeng

Berchem and Kaerjeng HB played to a 39-39 draw in the AXA League on 9 September 2026, halting the visitors' momentum after four consecutive wins in their recent form. The result leaves Berchem top of the table with two points from one match, while Kaerjeng HB remain fourth with a single point from their opener.

Head-to-head context

The match contradicted the recent history between the sides. Berchem had won all six of the previous meetings dating back to November 2024, including a 32-16 victory at Kaerjeng HB in May 2026. This was the first time in those encounters that the home side had avoided defeat, though the heavy scoring reflected the league's high-scoring nature rather than a tactical shift.

Recent form analysis

Berchem arrived with four wins and one loss in their last five games, scoring 169 goals and conceding 137. Kaerjeng HB had recorded one win, one draw and three losses in the same period, with a goal difference of 145 for and 176 against. The visitors' previous away result against Kaerjeng ended in a 16-32 loss, making this draw a significant deviation from their recent output.

Standings impact

The draw meant Berchem retained their position at the summit of the 2026-2027 AXA League table after securing two points from their first match. Kaerjeng HB, who had started with one point from their opening game, maintained fourth place. The result confirmed the unpredictability of the early season, with statistical models having predicted a 0% probability for a draw.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 19:43
  • Керанж — 4. place, 1 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
  • Берхем — 1. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Керанж, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Берхем, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 15 games, Керанж — 1, 1 draws, Берхем — 13

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Kaerjeng HB LLWDD 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Berchem WWLWD 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 16

1Kaerjeng HB 1Draw 14Berchem
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+