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Karvina vs HC Zubří: match prediction on 15 September 2026

Extraliga Házenkářská hala STaRS Karviná Hit Match page
Karvina HC Zubří

Prediction for

Win: Karvina

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

59% 1
41% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 13 Sep, 17:53

Karviná to win. The home side leads the head-to-head 4-2 from six meetings this season and the model puts their expected goals at 31.9 against Zubří's 28.4, a gap that aligns with their dominance at home.

Both sides opened the campaign with victories. Karviná beat DHC Plzen 27-23 at home on 26 April, while Zubří took Zlin 32-27 away on 6 September. Each has three wins and two losses from their last five matches, collecting 9 points apiece. The goal difference tells a slightly different story: Karviná have netted 150 and conceded 144, Zubří 163 for and 157 against.

Karviná have won four of the six encounters, including the last two in April. Zubří's victories came at home: 38-27 on 18 April and 32-24 on 19 April.

The simulation expects Karviná to score 31.9 goals and Zubří 28.4. The model backs Karviná, though the BTTS line is broken. The figures suggest a Karviná victory by a narrow margin, consistent with their home record against this opponent.

Zubří only have a chance if they match their April away performance. They lost 31-34 to Karviná away that month, but had won 38-27 at home. If Zubří start like they did in those home victories — scoring early and building a cushion — the model's edge disappears.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 13 Sep, 17:53
  • Карвина — 3. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • ХК Зубжи — 4. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Карвина, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • ХК Зубжи, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 13 games, Карвина — 10, ХК Зубжи — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Karvina LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
HC Zubří LWWWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 14

10Karvina 0Draw 3HC Zubří
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+