ELJ
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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HC Zubří
Prediction for
Win: Karvina
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 14
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 17:53Karviná to win. The home side leads the head-to-head 4-2 from six meetings this season and the model puts their expected goals at 31.9 against Zubří's 28.4, a gap that aligns with their dominance at home.
Both sides opened the campaign with victories. Karviná beat DHC Plzen 27-23 at home on 26 April, while Zubří took Zlin 32-27 away on 6 September. Each has three wins and two losses from their last five matches, collecting 9 points apiece. The goal difference tells a slightly different story: Karviná have netted 150 and conceded 144, Zubří 163 for and 157 against.
Karviná have won four of the six encounters, including the last two in April. Zubří's victories came at home: 38-27 on 18 April and 32-24 on 19 April.
The simulation expects Karviná to score 31.9 goals and Zubří 28.4. The model backs Karviná, though the BTTS line is broken. The figures suggest a Karviná victory by a narrow margin, consistent with their home record against this opponent.
Zubří only have a chance if they match their April away performance. They lost 31-34 to Karviná away that month, but had won 38-27 at home. If Zubří start like they did in those home victories — scoring early and building a cushion — the model's edge disappears.