Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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CJ Almeida Garrett Women
Prediction for
Win: Madeira Andebol SAD Women
60%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 10
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 01:23Madeira Andebol SAD Women to win. Madeira have won 8 of 10 meetings and are on a 4-from-5 run, while CJ Almeida have managed just 1 victory in their last 5 outings.
Madeira's recent results show consistency rather than perfection. They lost their last match away to Benfica 25:35, but before that they won four consecutive games, including a 41:28 victory over CJ Almeida away and a 28:20 home win against ABC Braga. Their goal difference of 154:140 across those five matches indicates they are scoring freely and not conceding excessively. Four wins from five is not dominant, but in this competition it is more than enough to suggest they are operating at a higher level than their opponents.
CJ Almeida's form tells a different story. One win, one draw, three losses gives them only 4 points from 15 available. Their 31:27 victory over Gil Eanes away was their only win, and their 30:30 draw with São Pedro do Sul was a rare point earned at home. They lost 28:41 to Madeira in their most recent meeting and 21:30 to Benfica at home. Their goal difference of 132:151 shows they are being outscored, and the pattern of results suggests they are struggling to compete at this level.
The head-to-head record reinforces the picture. Madeira have won 8 of 10 meetings, with CJ Almeida managing just 1 victory and 1 draw. The most recent encounter on 23 May ended 41:28 to Madeira away, a result that was not close despite the away venue. The only match CJ Almeida won was on 27 September 2025, when they beat Madeira 29:27 at home.
Madeira are expected to score 28.2 goals and CJ Almeida 24.7, a difference of 3.5 goals. It assigns 0% probability to a draw, which aligns with the historical record where draws are rare. If CJ Almeida secure an early lead and adopt a defensive approach, or if Madeira suffer an unexpected injury to a key player, the margin could narrow. But under normal conditions, Madeira's superiority in form and head-to-head makes them the clear choice.