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Mihaliccikspor SK vs Trabzon: match prediction on 20 September 2026

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Mihaliccikspor SK Trabzon

Prediction for

Win: Trabzon

51%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

49% 1
51% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 18 Sep, 12:06

The home side's start to the campaign has been solid, and Trabzon's away record is thin on wins. The visitors' inability to convert draws into victories tips the balance.

The home side has shown resilience. Two wins from their opening three matches, including a 3-0 victory away at Goztepe, suggests they can handle pressure. Their only blemish is a single draw against Rize Genclik. Over five matches they have taken 7 points, scoring 10 goals and conceding 5.

Trabzon's form tells a different story. Four defeats in their last five outings, with only a 1-1 draw at Guneysu offering any comfort. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 10 across those matches, a negative differential that undermines their chances. Their league position reflects this: 8th place after three games, with just one point from two draws and a loss.

The head-to-head record complicates matters. The pattern suggests they have the mental edge, but the gap between past dominance and current form is stark. Mihaliccikspor's unbeaten start contrasts with Trabzon's winless run.

The prediction expects a 1-0 scoreline for Mihaliccikspor SK and a 1-1 draw for Trabzon, a difference of just 0.3 goals. Yet it assigns a 15% probability to a draw. The conclusion holds while Trabzon continues to struggle with conversion — if they find a way to turn their draws into wins, the prediction no longer stands.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 18 Sep, 12:06
  • Михаличчикспор — 3. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Трабзонспор — 8. place, 1 points after 3 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses)
  • Михаличчикспор, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Трабзонспор, last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Михаличчикспор — 1, Трабзонспор — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Mihaliccikspor SK DLLWW 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Trabzon LLLDL 1 draw · 4 losses

Head to head 4

1Mihaliccikspor SK 0Draw 3Trabzon
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+