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Nes Tziona vs Rehovot: match prediction on 13 October 2026

Division 1 Lev HaMoshava Sports Hall Ness Ziona Pending Match page
Nes Tziona Rehovot

Prediction for

Win: Nes Tziona

57%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

57% 1
43% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Oct, 16:25

Nes Tziona win 33-32. The model predicts the home side will score 1.5 more goals, and I follow that to a one-goal victory. The prediction fails if Rehovot exploits the home side's defensive fragility in the closing minutes.

Both sides enter this fixture without a defeat this season. Nes Tziona sit 12th after two matches, collecting 0 points from two draws. Rehovot occupy 8th after three games, gathering 2 points from one win and two draws.

Nes Tziona have won one, drawn one, lost three, scoring 177 and conceding 191. Rehovot match that pattern exactly—one victory, one draw, three defeats, 158 goals for and 184 against.

The two meetings this season both ended level. On 19 January Nes Tziona drew 34-34 at home. On 6 April Rehovot also drew 38-38 at home. The model expects 33.6 goals for Nes Tziona and 32.1 for Rehovot, a margin of 1.5 that points to a narrow home success.

A draw suits the visitors, and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If Rehovot can absorb pressure and survive until the final period without conceding, the model is wrong. The home side must attack early rather than play conservatively.

Outcome: Nes Tziona 33-32 Rehovot

Confidence: 52%

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Oct, 16:25
  • Нес Циона — 12. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Реховот — 8. place, 2 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Нес Циона, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Реховот, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Нес Циона — 0, 2 draws, Реховот — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Nes Tziona WLDLL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Rehovot DLWLL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 2

0Nes Tziona 2Draw 0Rehovot
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+