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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Odense Women
81%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 12
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 19:03Odense Women are the clear favourites against NFH Women on Wednesday. The home side sits top of the Kvindeligaen with a perfect three wins from three. That gap is decisive.
Odense have not dropped a point this season. Three matches, three victories, six points — they lead the table and have done so without a single slip. Their recent form shows the same pattern: three wins, one draw, one loss across their last five outings, with 164 goals scored and 138 conceded. Odense average 32.8 goals a game; NFH concede 27.4.
NFH Women occupy third place with four points from three games — two wins and one draw, still unbeaten but unable to match Odense's consistency. Their last five matches tell a different story: two wins, one draw, two losses, scoring 148 goals and conceding 137. They have struggled to close out games against stronger opposition, losing at home to Esbjerg 29:31 and away to Metz Women 24:29. NFH's goal difference swings from +17 to -5, compared to Odense's consistent +26.
The head-to-head record runs heavily in Odense's favour. Across 12 meetings they have won eight, drawn one, and lost three. The most recent encounter was just three days ago on 6 September — a 27:27 draw in the Champions League. In league play the pattern has been different: Odense won 31:27 away in May 2024 and 34:26 at home earlier that month.
The model pegs Odense at 32.8 expected goals to NFH's 20.1. NFH's backcourt disrupts Odense's pivot, limiting their usual fluidity. Odense's attack has found the net consistently — 164 goals in five matches averages more than 32 per game — while NFH's defence has conceded 137 in the same period.
This outcome stops holding if NFH replicate the defensive structure that produced the 27:27 draw three days ago. Handball matches can turn on early momentum, and if NFH score first and manage the tempo, Odense's attacking dominance could be blunted. A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. But the data points elsewhere.
Odense Women win. The previous meeting was a draw, and handball is a sport where margins are thin.