Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Rhein-Neckar Löwen vs Gummersbach: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Rhein-Neckar Löwen
Gummersbach
Prediction for
Win: Rhein-Neckar Löwen
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
52%
1
48%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 19:02- Рейн-Неккар Левен — 10. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Гуммерсбах — 13. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Рейн-Неккар Левен, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Гуммерсбах, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Рейн-Неккар Левен — 3, Гуммерсбах — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Rhein-Neckar Löwen
WLLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Gummersbach
LDLWD
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Head to head 8
3Rhein-Neckar Löwen
0Draw
5Gummersbach
- 7 JunGummersbach — Rhein-Neckar Löwen28:27
- 11 Dec 2025Rhein-Neckar Löwen — Gummersbach34:32
- 21 May 2025Rhein-Neckar Löwen — Gummersbach32:34
- 22 Feb 2025Gummersbach — Rhein-Neckar Löwen36:25
- 19 May 2024Gummersbach — Rhein-Neckar Löwen31:26
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 19:02Rhein-Neckar Löwen to win. The model projects 29.5 goals for the hosts against 28.5 for Gummersbach, and the 52% confidence figure reflects that edge. It is narrow, but it is there.
Both sides opened the season with a draw, so the table tells us nothing useful yet. Löwen sit 10th, Gummersbach 13th, but those positions carry no weight after one match. What matters is where each side has been rather than where they are.
Recent results
Löwen have won three of their last five matches, losing two. They scored 158 goals and conceded 137 across those games. Gummersbach managed two wins, a draw and two defeats in the same period, with 164 goals for and 139 against. The visitors have been slightly more productive at the other end, but their away record shows more vulnerability — two losses in five matches away from home.
Head-to-head
The most recent encounter in June went to Gummersbach 28:27, but that was away for the hosts.
The model's numbers
The expected goals figures are not a prediction of the exact scoreline. They represent an average across many simulated versions of this match. 29.5 for Löwen means they most often score one or two goals ahead of the visitors. The model assigns a 0% probability to a draw and 0% to both teams scoring — in handball terms, that suggests a decisive result with one side pulling clear. The three-and-above goals probability is also listed at 0%, which points toward a relatively contained outcome.
Why the hosts
Löwen's home record in their last five matches shows three wins and two losses. They have been stronger at home than Gummersbach have been away. That result, combined with the model's goal expectations, gives the hosts the edge.
The conclusion stops holding if Gummersbach replicate their away form from February — a 36:25 win — or if the match stays tight through the first half and they manage to control the tempo. A draw would suit the visitors, and given how they have run games in recent away fixtures, that is the main threat.