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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Nove Veseli
Prediction for
Win: Nove Veseli
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 11
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 18:13RK Koprivnice to win at home against Nove Veseli. Confidence: 60%.
Recent form and tight H2H margins back Koprivnica.
A one-goal win fits the recent pattern.
Nove Veseli can still cover if they turn xG into goals.
The home side comes into this Extraliga fixture on a better run. Their last five matches produced four wins and one loss, with 157 goals scored against 144 conceded. Nove Veseli managed only two victories in the same period, conceding more than they scored across those games.
Both sides have won their opening league matches this season and sit on two points each, though the table places Nove Veseli first and RK Koprivnice sixth. The recent form suggests the home side has found more consistency since the season started.
The head-to-head record is evenly matched. The last three encounters have been decided by narrow margins: 24:23, 29:28, and 24:26. Close games suit the home side, who have the advantage of playing on familiar ground.
The model expects RK Koprivnice to score 27.3 goals and Nove Veseli 28.1, a difference of just under a single goal. When the margin is this small, the home advantage and the home side's stronger recent results tip the balance. RK Koprivnica have won two of the last three meetings between these sides, including a 29:28 victory at home in October 2025.
Their away record in the head-to-head has produced some 36:27 win in September 2024, and they have shown they can exploit defensive errors on the road.
Away form has been mixed for Nove Veseli in recent months. They lost 26:34 to Frydek-Mistek and 26:28 to Brno when traveling, though they did secure a 25:14 victory over the same Czech side at home in April.