Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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RK Vardar 1961 vs Eurofarm Pelister 2: match prediction on 4 September 2026
RK Vardar 1961
Eurofarm Pelister 2
Prediction for
Win: RK Vardar 1961
70%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
70%
1
30%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 17:09- Вардар, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Еврофарм Пелистер 2, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Вардар — 4, Еврофарм Пелистер 2 — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
RK Vardar 1961
WWWLW
4 wins · 1 loss
Eurofarm Pelister 2
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 5
5RK Vardar 1961
0Draw
0Eurofarm Pelister 2
- 21 Nov 2025RK Vardar 1961 — Eurofarm Pelister 234:24
- 26 Apr 2025Eurofarm Pelister 2 — RK Vardar 196125:28
- 21 Apr 2023RK Vardar 1961 — Eurofarm Pelister 225:22
- 4 Mar 2023Eurofarm Pelister 2 — RK Vardar 196118:25
- 8 May 2022RK Vardar 1961 — Eurofarm Pelister 234:23
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 17:09Vardar win. The model predicts 33.2 goals conceded and 24.9 scored, the head-to-head shows five straight victories, and Vardar have won their last five matches without a single draw. Pelister's record of three wins and two losses in the same span does not match that intensity.
The hosts are unbeaten in their last five fixtures, scoring 173 goals while conceding 138. Four of those came in friendlies at home or away, but the final result was a 36:34 Superleague win over Butel Skopje on 27 May. The margin has been tight in the league but the pattern is clear: Vardar do not lose.
Pelister have taken nine points from five games, with defeats to Prilep and RK Tinex Prolet Skopje. The 24:28 loss at home to Prilep on 31 May is the most recent result, and it came after a 40:29 victory away at Struga. The side has shown they can score freely but they have also dropped points when it matters.
The five meetings between these sides have all gone to Vardar. The most recent Superleague encounter on 21 November 2025 ended 34:24 in Skopje. A friendly on 26 April 2025 produced a 28:25 win for Vardar in Bitola.
The model gives no chance of a draw, which aligns with the recent results where Vardar have consistently outscored Pelister by ten goals or more. The expected goal totals suggest a comfortable margin rather than a close contest.
The model is 70% confident. A draw would break this conclusion, and given Pelister's ability to score 40 goals in a single match, a surprise result is not impossible, only unlikely.