Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Rostov-Don Women
Prediction for
Win: Rostov-Don Women
86%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 9
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 12:48Rostov-Don Women are heavy favourites to extend their perfect start to the Super League Women campaign, and the data leaves little room for doubt. They sit second after two victories, while Izhevsk Women occupy twelfth place with two points from two draws. The model expects Rostov-Don to score 38.3 goals on average, Izhevsk 20.4, with a draw probability of 0%.
Rostov-Don's recent results show a side capable of scoring freely. In their last five matches they have netted 155 goals while conceding 137, producing results such as a 28-22 away win at Krasnodar and a 33-22 home victory over Adyif. Their only setbacks came in cup competitions — a 37-38 Supercup defeat to CSKA Moskva and a 31-23 loss away to the same opposition in May. Izhevsk's record tells a different story entirely. They have failed to win any of their last five games, collecting just one point from a 26-26 draw at Alisa Ufa. Their other four results were defeats, including a 19-37 home loss to CSKA Moskva and a 19-38 away defeat at Togliatti.
They’ve won the last three by 19, 17, and 20 goals. Izhevsk have not troubled them in that span. The model expects another loss.
League positioning reflects the disparity. The gap in quality is visible in goal differences as well — Rostov-Don's recent form shows a +18 differential across five games, Izhevsk's shows -61.
A Rostov-Don victory is the only logical conclusion, but it would not hold if Izhevsk somehow replicated their draw against Alisa Ufa — a 26-26 result that showed they can hold their ground for 60 minutes.