Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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RTV Basel vs HSC Suhr Aarau: match prediction on 5 September 2026
RTV Basel
HSC Suhr Aarau
Prediction for
Win: RTV Basel
51%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
51%
1
49%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 17:09- РТВ Базель — 8. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- ХСК Зур Аарау — 9. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- РТВ Базель, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- ХСК Зур Аарау, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, РТВ Базель — 2, ХСК Зур Аарау — 7
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
RTV Basel
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
HSC Suhr Aarau
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 9
2RTV Basel
0Draw
7HSC Suhr Aarau
- 4 FebHSC Suhr Aarau — RTV Basel31:22
- 5 Nov 2025RTV Basel — HSC Suhr Aarau21:29
- 21 Sep 2025HSC Suhr Aarau — RTV Basel21:23
- 22 Mar 2025HSC Suhr Aarau — RTV Basel26:25
- 11 Dec 2024RTV Basel — HSC Suhr Aarau28:30
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 17:09HSC Suhr Aarau to win. The visitors carry a seven-match winning advantage in head-to-head meetings and have taken more points from the opening rounds, while RTV Basel's recent five-match losing streak suggests a side still searching for rhythm.
The table tells the story most clearly. HSC Suhr Aarau sit eighth with two points from three games, having claimed one victory and drawn two. RTV Basel occupy ninth place with three points from three matches, all drawn. Two points separate them after the same number of fixtures, and those two points reflect the difference in how each side has handled the pressure of the opening rounds.
Recent form cuts in opposite directions. RTV Basel have lost all five of their last matches, conceding 190 goals while scoring 153. Their defeats have come against Bern, SG Zürich, Wacker Thun, and twice against HC Kriens-Luzern. HSC Suhr Aarau have won two of their last five, losing three, scoring 142 and conceding 157. The visitors picked up a win against St. Gallen on 2 September, their most recent result.
The head-to-head record weighs heavily. In nine encounters over recent years, HSC Suhr Aarau have won seven while RTV Basel have taken just two. The most recent meeting on 4 February 2026 ended 31:22 in favour of the visitors. Two matches back on 5 November 2025, RTV Basel lost 21:29 at home. The pattern is consistent — HSC Suhr Aarau have been the stronger side whenever these teams meet.
The model sets RTV Basel at 28.8 expected goals and HSC Suhr Aarau at 28.3. Those figures represent averages across many simulated versions of the match, not a prediction of the final score. The draw probability sits at 0%, and the model expects a standard handball total. The slight edge in expected goals belongs to the home side, but the head-to-head record and current form point elsewhere.
A draw would suit neither side given the points gap, but RTV Basel's inability to convert recent performances into results makes that outcome unlikely. The pick holds unless the home side contains the visitors' attack. HSC Suhr Aarau to win.