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Porto
ABC Braga
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Skjern Håndbold vs Mors: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Skjern Håndbold
Mors
Prediction for
Win: Skjern Håndbold
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
57%
1
43%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 17:42- Скьерн — 4. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Морс — 8. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Скьерн, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Морс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 11 games, Скьерн — 7, 2 draws, Морс — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Skjern Håndbold
WLWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Mors
LWLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 12
7Skjern Håndbold
2Draw
3Mors
- 25 FebSkjern Håndbold — Mors28:30
- 15 May 2025Skjern Håndbold — Mors34:30
- 26 Apr 2025Mors — Skjern Håndbold37:37
- 14 Dec 2024Mors — Skjern Håndbold32:35
- 20 Sep 2024Skjern Håndbold — Mors25:25
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 17:42Skjern Håndbold to win
Skjern Håndbold are favored to take all three points against Mors on Wednesday. The home side carry a stronger recent record and the model places them ahead on expected goals. Their position at the top of the fixture list at home outweighs Mors's away struggles, and the historical edge in this fixture supports the home win.
Skjern sit fourth after two matches with one victory and one draw, accumulating 2 points. Their last five outings produced three wins and two defeats, scoring 169 goals while conceding 157. The most recent result was a 40:30 victory away at Ringsted on 29 August, followed by a 29:35 loss to GOG on 25 August. They opened the season at home with a 36:25 win over Nordsjælland Håndbold in a club friendly before securing a 37:31 league victory against Fredericia HK on 10 May.
Mors occupy eighth place with an identical points total after two games. Their last five matches tell a different story: one win and four defeats, with 151 goals scored against 171 conceded. They beat Kolding 34:31 at home on 30 August but have lost four consecutive fixtures since, including defeats to Ribe-Esbjerg 32:34, Bjerringbro-Silkeborg 25:33, GOG 29:35, and GOG 31:38. The away record is particularly weak, with losses in three of their last four away games.
Skjern have dominated the head-to-head over recent years. In 11 meetings they won 7, drew 2, and lost 2. At Skjern Bank Arena the last four results were a 28:30 Mors win in February 2024, a 34:30 Skjern victory in May 2023, a 25:25 draw in September 2022, and a 35:27 Skjern win in February 2021. The pattern shows Skjern winning three of the last four home encounters, with only one defeat on this ground.
The model expects Skjern to score 31.9 goals and Mors 29.2. These figures represent averages across many simulated versions of the match. The slight edge for Skjern aligns with their home advantage and superior recent scoring rate. Both teams average around 34 goals per match across their respective datasets, but Skjern's defensive record is tighter with fewer goals conceded per game.