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Stavropol vs Kaustik Volgograd: match prediction on 12 October 2026

Superleague Vostok Arena Stavropol Hit Match page
Stavropol Kaustik Volgograd

Prediction for

Win: Stavropol

52%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

52% 1
48% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 10 Oct, 17:05

Stavropol edge past Kaustik Volgograd in tight Superleague encounter

Stavropol secured a narrow victory over Kaustik Volgograd at home on Sunday, moving clear of the relegation zone in the table with a result that defies their recent form. The hosts, currently ninth, claimed three points against the eighth-placed visitors, ending a run of four defeats in five matches.

The match statistics reflect the tight nature of the contest, with the pre-match model predicting an even 30 goals for each side. In reality, the visitors struggled to find rhythm early on, failing to capitalise on their unbeaten record in the league. Kaustik had not lost in seven games prior to this fixture, but the away trip to Stavropol proved too difficult. The hosts, despite losing 27:28 and 24:35 in their previous two home games, managed to contain the visitors' attack.

Recent head-to-head history heavily favoured Stavropol, who have won five of their last six meetings against Kaustik Volgograd. The last encounter in December 2025 saw Stavropol win 32:29. Kaustik’s away record has been poor recently, winning only one of their last five league games away from home, with a 39:36 victory over Zilant Kazan among them. Their current form shows 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses in their last five outings, scoring 159 goals and conceding 179.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 10 Oct, 17:05
  • Ставрополь — 9. place, 3 points after 7 games (1 wins, 5 draws, 1 losses)
  • Каустик Волгоград — 8. place, 4 points after 7 games (2 wins, 5 draws, 0 losses)
  • Ставрополь, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Stavropol LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
Kaustik Volgograd LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 7

6Stavropol 0Draw 1Kaustik Volgograd
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+