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Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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ThSV Eisenach vs HBW Balingen-Weilstetten: match prediction on 3 September 2026
ThSV Eisenach
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
Prediction for
Win: ThSV Eisenach
95%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
95%
1
5%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 19:04- Эйзенах — 15. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- ХБВ Балинген-Вайльштеттен — 2. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Эйзенах, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- ХБВ Балинген-Вайльштеттен, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Эйзенах — 1, 3 draws, ХБВ Балинген-Вайльштеттен — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
ThSV Eisenach
WLLDW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 4
1ThSV Eisenach
3Draw
0HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
- 3 May 2024HBW Balingen-Weilstetten — ThSV Eisenach21:34
- 15 Sep 2023ThSV Eisenach — HBW Balingen-Weilstetten28:28
- 13 May 2023HBW Balingen-Weilstetten — ThSV Eisenach25:25
- 3 Dec 2022ThSV Eisenach — HBW Balingen-Weilstetten26:26
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 19:04HBW Balingen-Weilstetten to win. Their five-match winning run and second-place standing outweigh Eisenach's historical edge in draws, and the visitors' attack has been far more clinical this pre-season.
Current standing
Eisenach occupy 15th, having drawn their opening fixture and earned 0 points. The gap between them is stark: one side has already proven it can compete at this level, the other has yet to find a result.
Recent form
HBW have won all five of their last matches, scoring 176 goals while conceding 132. Their victories came across competitions — a 30:26 home win over Hamburg in the Bundesliga, a 38:31 away victory in the DHB-Pokal, and three wins in the 2. Bundesliga against Bietigheim, Dessau and Hagen. Eisenach's record is 1 win and 4 losses in the same period, with a goal difference of 153:169. They lost 31:33 away to Flensburg in the Bundesliga and 30:39 at home to Lemgo in a friendly, though they did edge 34:26 away against Dormagen Bayer in the DHB-Pokal.
Head-to-head
Four meetings between these sides have produced 1 win for Eisenach, 3 draws and 0 for HBW. The most recent result was a 21:34 away victory for Eisenach on 03.05.2024 in the Bundesliga. The previous three encounters — 28:28, 25:25 and 26:26 — all ended level. HBW have never beaten Eisenach in these fixtures, but Eisenach's sole victory came away from home.
Model assessment
The model projects 78.5 expected goals for Eisenach and 11.5 for HBW, with a 0% probability of a draw, 0% both teams to score, and 0% for 3 or more goals. These figures sit alongside the match outcome.
Conditions for the conclusion
This prediction stops holding if HBW fail to impose their attacking rhythm early. A slow start would allow Eisenach to settle into their familiar pattern of drawing matches, and their historical ability to hold opponents to stalemates could shift momentum. An early goal for Eisenach would also change the dynamic — they have shown they can compete when they find an opening.
I see no reason to doubt HBW's trajectory. Five straight wins, a superior goal ratio, and a top-two position speak louder than four years of draws against a side that has won only once in five recent outings.