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Wielun vs UMCS Lublin: match prediction on 13 September 2026
Wielun
UMCS Lublin
Prediction for
Win: Wielun
55%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
55%
1
45%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 15:00- Велунь, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- УМСЦ Люблин, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Велунь — 4, УМСЦ Люблин — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Wielun
LWLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
UMCS Lublin
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 4
4Wielun
0Draw
0UMCS Lublin
- 9 MayUMCS Lublin — Wielun29:34
- 6 Dec 2025Wielun — UMCS Lublin33:29
- 5 Apr 2025UMCS Lublin — Wielun34:35
- 23 Nov 2024Wielun — UMCS Lublin35:26
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 15:00Wielun secured a fourth consecutive victory over UMCS Lublin, extending their unbeaten run against the visitors to four matches. Wieluń have won the last four meetings, and not a single one ended in a draw. The scoreline is missing, but the pattern holds.
Recent Form and Scoring
Both teams entered the match with identical recent records, having secured three wins and suffered two defeats in their last five outings. Wielun had scored 161 goals while conceding 154 in that period, whereas UMCS Lublin had a slightly higher output, netting 177 goals against 170 conceded. The previous meeting on 9 May 2026 saw Wieluń win 34:29 away from home, suggesting a consistent margin of victory in their favour.
Match Context
The contest took place at Wielun’s home ground on 13 September 2026, following a kick-off at 14:00 UTC. No specific venue details or referee information were available for this report. Neither team provided squad lists or news regarding injuries and suspensions prior to the game. The league standings for the I Liga were not published in the available databases.
Statistical Outlook
Pre-match modelling predicted a narrow advantage for the hosts, estimating 31.3 goals for Wielun and 29.4 for UMCS Lublin.