Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Avangard Omsk vs Magnitogorsk: match prediction on 13 September 2026
Avangard Omsk
Magnitogorsk
Prediction for
Win: Avangard Omsk
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
43%
1
17%
X
40%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 12:00- Авангард Омск — 4. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Магнитогорск — 4. place, 0 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- Авангард Омск, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Магнитогорск, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 31 games, Авангард Омск — 20, Магнитогорск — 11
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Avangard Omsk
LWWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Magnitogorsk
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 42
25Avangard Omsk
0Draw
17Magnitogorsk
- 8 JanMagnitogorsk — Avangard Omsk2:1
- 26 Dec 2025Avangard Omsk — Magnitogorsk2:1
- 27 Nov 2025Magnitogorsk — Avangard Omsk1:3
- 27 Oct 2025Avangard Omsk — Magnitogorsk1:4
- 12 Oct 2025Magnitogorsk — Avangard Omsk1:5
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 12:00Momentum favours the visitors
They arrive on a five-match winning streak, including two league wins, while Avangard Omsk have shown signs of fragility at home, particularly their 0:4 defeat to Salavat Ufa on 07 September.
Attack versus inconsistency
Avangard have scored 12 goals in their last five fixtures but also conceded 12. Magnitogorsk have been sharper, netting 18 times in the same span while keeping a clean sheet in none of their last five but dominating the scoreboard. Their 3:2 victory over Bars Kazan on 11 September proved they can grind out results away from home.
Recent history shifts
History favours Avangard, who have won 20 of the last 31 meetings, but the trend has shifted recently. Magnitogorsk edged the last encounter 2:1 in January, and the series has been tighter than the overall tally implies. Avangard’s dominance in the longer run does not erase the fact that the visitors have found a way to win when it mattered most this season.
Model points to goals
Magnitogorsk sit second in the table after three games without a loss, while Avangard are fifth after two matches. The model predicts a high-scoring affair, with a 94% probability of three or more goals. The most likely scorelines are 3:2, 3:3, and 2:2.
Conditions for a different result
Avangard can flip this if they score early and sit deep. They have the personnel to frustrate a side that likes to attack, and a first-period lead could force Magnitogorsk to chase the game. A penalty advantage for the hosts would also change the dynamic, turning a close contest into a defensive stalemate.