Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Barys Astana vs Khabarovsk: match prediction on 12 September 2026
Barys Astana
Khabarovsk
Prediction for
Win: Khabarovsk
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
38%
1
18%
X
44%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 10 Sep, 12:42- Барыс — 1. place, 0 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- Хабаровск — 3. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
- Барыс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Хабаровск, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 20 games, Барыс — 5, Хабаровск — 15
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Barys Astana
LLWWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Khabarovsk
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 22
7Barys Astana
0Draw
15Khabarovsk
- 18 AugBarys Astana — Khabarovsk1:5
- 2 FebKhabarovsk — Barys Astana4:2
- 31 JanKhabarovsk — Barys Astana2:1
- 27 Dec 2025Barys Astana — Khabarovsk1:4
- 24 Oct 2025Barys Astana — Khabarovsk3:1
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 10 Sep, 12:42Khabarovsk win. The model expects them to edge the match 2.6 to 2.4 in goals, and their historical record against Barys—15 victories to 5—carries weight even when the hosts sit top of the table after two wins.
Barys have opened the KHL campaign with back-to-back victories, 8:6 against Salavat Ufa on 9 September and 7:1 over Novosibirsk two days earlier. They have scored 23 goals in their last five matches while conceding 16, and their recent friendlies show a side willing to trade blows—6:5 against Vladivostok on 30 August before two narrow defeats to St Petersburg sides. The new head coach Mikhail Kravets has demanded a winner's mentality, and the 7:1 result suggests the message has landed.
Khabarovsk's KHL season has been difficult. They lost 0:2 away to Novosibirsk on 10 September, then fell 1:2 and 2:4 to Magnitogorsk on 8 and 6 September. Their last two wins came in friendlies against Salavat Ufa on 28 August and 20 August, both 3:2 victories away from home. In five matches they have scored just 9 goals and conceded 12, and coach Andrievsky has publicly acknowledged problems with the attack.
The head-to-head tells a different story entirely. Across 20 meetings Khabarovsk have won 15 times while Barys have taken 5. The most recent encounter was a friendly on 18 August where Khabarovsk won 5:1 at Barys's home. The model's expected goals—2.4 for Barys, 2.6 for Khabarovsk—reflect this imbalance, and the most likely scorelines point the same way: 2:2 at 6%, 2:3 at 6%, and 3:2 at 5%. Both teams to score sits at 85%, and three or more goals at 88%, suggesting a high-scoring affair where the visitors' edge could prove decisive.
—and that is the main threat to this conclusion. If Barys's home momentum and their 100% KHL record holds firm, the prediction breaks. The hosts have not lost at home in the league this season, and a single early goal could shift the entire balance away from the visitors who have struggled to find their rhythm in away fixtures.