Chaika vs Stalnye Lisy: match prediction on 30 September 2026

Chaika 6:1 Stalnye Lisy

Chaika defeated Stalnye Lisy 6:1 in the MHL on 30 September 2026. The result left Chaika third in the standings with five wins and two defeats, while Stalnye Lisy dropped to sixth place with four victories and three losses. The hosts have now won both meetings between the sides this month.

Chaika entered the fixture fourth after six matches, mirroring Stalnye Lisy in the standings with four wins and two losses. The visitors were also fourth on that count before the game. In their previous five games, Chaika produced four wins and one loss, while Stalnye Lisy managed three wins and two losses.

Chaika had already beaten them 2:1 the day before. After the earlier encounter, Stalnye Lisy had won two of their next two home games against Belye Medvedi and Kuznetskie Medvedi, but lost their away trip to Chaika. Chaika had won four of their last five matches, conceding only four goals in that span.

A pre-match prediction by the prediction model favoured a Chaika victory with 43 per cent confidence. The model expected 2.8 goals for the hosts and 2.7 for the visitors, with an 88 per cent chance that both sides would score. The actual 6:1 scoreline had a 6 per cent probability according to the data. The model noted an 18 per cent chance of a draw in this fixture.

Stalnye Lisy arrived with a stronger recent record in away form, having won three of their last five matches. Their last five games produced nine goals scored and twelve conceded.

The head-to-head record showed eight wins for each side in sixteen matches over recent years. However, the most recent meetings favoured Chaika, including a 1:7 victory for Stalnye Lisy in January 2026 and a 2:5 win for the visitors in the same month.

Chaika's coach Jonathan Alba and his staff had departed the club recently, though no further details were provided about the timing or circumstances of the change. Stalnye Lisy had no reported squad changes or suspensions ahead of the fixture.