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Coventry vs Cardiff: match prediction on 13 September 2026

Challenge Cup Planet Ice Coventry Coventry Pending Match page
Coventry Cardiff

Prediction for

Win: Cardiff

47%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

36% 1
17% X
47% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 17:33

Cardiff secured a victory in the Challenge Cup fixture on Saturday, continuing their dominance over their Coventry opponents. Cardiff won. The visitors had not lost a match since their 5-4 friendly defeat away to Nottingham on 5 September. Cardiff maintain their city record advantage.

Cardiff arrived with momentum, having won four of their last five matches, while Coventry had lost three. The visitors’ recent streak included victories over Sheffield and Angers. Coventry’s friendlies were chaotic: a 6-4 win and a 7-2 loss to Guildford.

The historical record showed Cardiff leading with 24 wins to Coventry’s 18 in 42 meetings. In the most recent encounters, Cardiff had won four of the last six meetings. This included victories in both Elite League games played in April 2026, where the visitors won 4-1 and 2-1.

The pre-match model predicted a high-scoring affair, with an expected 94 per cent chance of three or more goals. The predicted scorelines of 2-3 and 3-3 each carried a 5 per cent probability. The visitors were expected to score 3.2 goals compared to Coventry’s 2.8.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 17:33
  • Ковентри, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Кардифф, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 42 games, Ковентри — 18, Кардифф — 24

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Coventry LLWLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Cardiff WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 52

22Coventry 0Draw 30Cardiff
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+