CSKA Moscow vs Vladivostok: match prediction on 11 September 2026

CSKA Moscow are favourites to win at home against Vladivostok on Thursday, backed by their superior recent form and a strong record in this fixture.

Their last outing was a clean 3:0 victory over Nizhny Novgorod on 9 September, while they also beat Spartak Moscow 4:0 in a friendly earlier in August. Vladivostok have struggled away from home, losing their opening KHL match 1:2 to Dynamo Moscow and failing to win any of their last five games outside their own arena. They scored just eight goals in those five matches compared to CSKA's fourteen.

The head-to-head record favours the Moscow side heavily. Over eight encounters in recent years, CSKA have won six times while Vladivostok have claimed just two victories. The most recent meeting ended 4:5 to CSKA in Vladivostok last season, and when the teams met at the CSKA arena on 10 September 2025, the home side won 1:0.

The model expects CSKA to score 3.2 goals while Vladivostok are projected to find the net twice. The most likely scorelines are 3:1, 3:2, or 2:1, each carrying a 6% probability. With an 89% chance of three or more goals and an 83% likelihood both teams score, the match appears set for an open contest. CSKA's defensive solidity at home—conceding only nine goals in five matches—contrasts with Vladivostok's leaky away record, where they have conceded 14 goals in the same period.

This prediction stops holding if Vladivostok manage to keep a clean sheet and exploit CSKA's occasional vulnerability in transition. The Moscow side lost 0:3 to Dinamo Minsk in a friendly on 28 August and 2:3 to Spartak Moscow in their KHL opener on 7 September, suggesting they can be caught out. A draw would suit the visitors given their tendency to run the clock down, and that remains the main threat to the home win projection.

Final prediction: CSKA Moscow to win. Confidence: 65%