Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Dinamo Minsk vs Lada: match prediction on 28 September 2026
Dinamo Minsk
Lada
Prediction for
Win: Dinamo Minsk
73%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
73%
1
12%
X
15%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 27 Sep, 17:15- Динамо Минск — 6. place, 0 points after 8 games (2 wins, 6 losses)
- Лада — 4. place, 0 points after 9 games (1 wins, 8 losses)
- Динамо Минск, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Лада, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Динамо Минск — 4, Лада — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Dinamo Minsk
WWLLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Lada
LLLLL
5 losses
Head to head 9
4Dinamo Minsk
0Draw
5Lada
- 14 SepLada — Dinamo Minsk4:2
- 5 FebLada — Dinamo Minsk3:8
- 21 Dec 2025Dinamo Minsk — Lada7:2
- 8 Nov 2025Dinamo Minsk — Lada0:1
- 22 Oct 2025Lada — Dinamo Minsk0:4
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Sep, 17:15Dinamo Minsk 5-3 Lada
Dinamo Minsk secured a 5-3 victory over Lada in the KHL on 28 September 2026. The result gave the home side their second win of the season, improving their record to two wins and six losses from eight matches, while Lada remained winless in their last five outings, extending their season tally to one victory and eight defeats from nine games.
Prior to this fixture, Lada had not scored in consecutive games, having lost 0-5 at home to CSKA Moscow and 3-7 away at Nizhnekamsk, but they managed to net three times in Togliatti. Dinamo Minsk, who had lost their previous two away games 1-2 to Kunlun and 3-4 to Dynamo Moscow, found their rhythm at home, where they had previously recorded a 5-3 win over Yekaterinburg and a 4-1 victory against Novosibirsk.
In their last nine meetings, Dinamo Minsk won four times and Lada five. Recent head-to-head results included a 4-2 win for Lada at home in September 2026, an 8-3 victory for Dinamo Minsk in February 2026, and a 7-2 win for the Belarusian side in December 2025. The current standings placed Lada fourth and Dinamo Minsk sixth, although both teams were level on points, with Lada at one point from nine matches and Dinamo Minsk also at one point from eight, despite their superior win ratio.
Lada’s coach, Sergej Brylin, cited a lack of speed and a slow start as concerns following a separate 1-2 loss in Shanghai. In the Togliatti fixture, Lada’s defence had been vulnerable, conceding 26 goals in their last five games, while Dinamo Minsk’s attack had scored 18 times in the same period.