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Dynamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow: match prediction on 9 October 2026
Dynamo Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Prediction for
Slight edge: CSKA Moscow
47%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
33%
1
20%
X
47%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 17:45- Динамо Москва — 6. place, 0 points after 14 games (5 wins, 9 losses)
- ЦСКА — 2. place, 0 points after 13 games (10 wins, 3 losses)
- Динамо Москва, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- ЦСКА, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 21 games, Динамо Москва — 9, ЦСКА — 12
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Dynamo Moscow
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
CSKA Moscow
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 31
12Dynamo Moscow
0Draw
19CSKA Moscow
- 14 OctCSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow1:0
- 3 OctCSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow4:3
- 28 JanDynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow2:4
- 30 Dec 2025CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow5:1
- 21 Dec 2025CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow0:1
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 17:45CSKA Moscow defeated Dynamo Moscow 4-3 on Thursday, extending their winning streak to five matches while deepening the crisis for their rivals.
A Return Visit
The result mirrored the outcome of the fixture played just six days earlier, on October 3, when CSKA won 4-3 at home in Moscow. Since that defeat, Dynamo Moscow have failed to win a single game, suffering five straight losses and conceding 15 goals while scoring only eight. Their recent form includes defeats against Kunlun, Nizhny Novgorod, Traktor Chelyabinsk, and Salavat Ufa. CSKA Moscow have won five consecutive matches, scoring 22 goals during that span, including a 6-5 thriller against SKA St. Petersburg on September 29.
Historical Context
In head-to-head meetings over the last few years, CSKA Moscow hold a slight edge. Across 21 matches played recently, CSKA have won 12 times while Dynamo Moscow have claimed nine victories. The momentum in this season has swung firmly in favour of the Red Army club. Dynamo's coach, Leonid Tambijew, had previously criticised his team's "weak chance conversion" following a 1-2 loss to Traktor Chelyabinsk on September 28, a sentiment that appeared to resonate as the Moscow derby unfolded.
Standings Implications
The victory moves CSKA Moscow further clear in the second position, with 10 wins and 3 losses from 13 matches.