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Eisbären Berlin vs Herning Blue Fox: match prediction on 13 September 2026
Eisbären Berlin
Herning Blue Fox
Prediction for
Win: Eisbären Berlin
73%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
73%
1
12%
X
15%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 17:13- Эйсберен Берлин — 24. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
- Хернинг Блю Фокс — 23. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
- Эйсберен Берлин, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Хернинг Блю Фокс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Eisbären Berlin
LLWWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Herning Blue Fox
LLLWW
2 wins · 3 losses
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 17:13Eisbären Berlin to win
The home side should take all three points in this Champions Hockey League clash, with the model projecting 4.4 expected goals for Berlin against 2.3 for the visitors. Herning have lost all three of their CHL matches so far, including a 2:7 home defeat to SaiPa, while Eisbären have secured one victory — a 4:1 win over Graz 99ers at home.
Both teams sit winless in the group stage, but the context matters. Eisbären Berlin occupy 19th place with one win and two losses, collecting two points across three matches. Herning Blue Fox trail in 22nd position with three straight defeats — three losses, no draws, no wins.
Looking at the last five matches across all competitions, both sides share a 2W, 0D, 3L record with 6 points apiece. Eisbären have scored 11 goals and conceded 23, while Herning have found the net 16 times and let in 18. Herning's victories came in domestic fixtures — 4:3 against Rungsted Seier Capital and 7:1 against Esbjerg — while their CHL outings have been consistently poor. Berlin's recent CHL win came at home, and their only other victory in this period was a 3:1 friendly against Lausitzer Füchse. The away losses remain the concern for both sides, but the model accounts for venue when calculating expected goals.
The draw probability sits at just 12%, while both teams to score is projected at 88% and three or more goals at 96%. The three most likely scorelines — 4:2, 3:2, and 4:1 — all feature Eisbären Berlin on the winning side. Herning's defensive vulnerabilities in CHL matches, particularly their tendency to concede heavily, make it difficult to see them containing the home attack for 60 minutes.
The visitors have shown they can score in domestic games, and their 16 goals in five matches suggest they possess attacking quality. If they can stay compact and hit on the counter, a narrow defeat or even a draw becomes possible. The 12% draw probability exists for a reason — hockey is unpredictable, and a single deflection or early goal can change the entire dynamic. But the data points to Berlin, and without significant absences or tactical surprises, the home side should take maximum points.