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Halifax Mooseheads vs Moncton Wildcats: match prediction on 19 September 2026

QMJHL Scotiabank Centre Halifax Miss Match page
Halifax Mooseheads Moncton Wildcats

Prediction for

Win: Moncton Wildcats

65%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

22% 1
13% X
65% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 23:05

Moncton are 65/35 favourites. The total is set on 4.5, with a 93% chance both sides score, and Moncton have won four of the last six meetings between these sides.

Halifax are 2nd after five matches with four wins and one loss, but their recent run shows five straight victories and 28 goals scored while conceding only 12. They beat Cape Breton 4-2 away on 18 September and Saint John 7-3 on 4 September, scoring freely on the road. Their last defeat came earlier in the season, and they have not dropped points since.

Moncton sit 10th after six matches with one win and five losses, yet their last five games show zero wins, one draw, and four defeats with 13 goals for and 22 against. Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw away at Charlottetown on 18 September, but they have lost four of the five before that, including heavy defeats against Cape Breton and Saint John.

Halifax lead the all-time series 20-19, but Moncton have taken four of the last six. In the most recent six encounters Moncton lead 4-2, including a 3-2 win at Halifax on 3 January 2026 and a 5-1 victory at home in December 2025.

The most likely scorelines are 2:4, 3:4, and 2:5, each at 4%. Draw probability sits at 13%, but the model backs a high-scoring away win.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 23:05
  • Халифакс Музхедс — 2. place, 0 points after 5 games (4 wins, 1 losses)
  • Монктон Уайлдкэтс — 10. place, 0 points after 6 games (1 wins, 5 losses)
  • Халифакс Музхедс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Монктон Уайлдкэтс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 39 games, Халифакс Музхедс — 19, Монктон Уайлдкэтс — 20

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Halifax Mooseheads WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss
Moncton Wildcats LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 52

28Halifax Mooseheads 0Draw 24Moncton Wildcats
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+