Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Hershey Bears vs Texas Stars: match prediction on 11 October 2026
Hershey Bears
Texas Stars
Prediction for
Slight edge: Hershey Bears
45%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
45%
1
17%
X
38%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 10 Oct, 22:05- Херши Беарс — 4. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Техас Старз — 3. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Херши Беарс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Техас Старз, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Hershey Bears
LLWWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Texas Stars
LWLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 1
1Hershey Bears
0Draw
0Texas Stars
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 10 Oct, 22:05Both teams to score: 92%
The model gives a 92% probability that both sides find the net, and the figures behind that are straightforward. Hershey Bears have scored 11 goals and conceded 16 across their last five matches, while Texas Stars have netted 14 and let in 19 in the same span. Neither defence has been tight, and neither attack has been dormant. The 3.2 expected goals for Hershey and 3.1 for Texas point to a match where neither side sits back.
Both teams sit on 6 points from 5 matches with 2 wins and 3 losses each. Hershey occupy 2nd place in the standings after 3 games, Texas are 5th after the same number. The discrepancy comes from the AHL's overtime-loss system, not from any gap in results. Hershey beat Texas 2:1 in their only meeting on 10.10.2026.
Hershey's home form in the last five has been mixed: they beat Texas 2:1 and Charlotte 3:2, but lost to Charlotte 2:5 and twice to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton 1:4 and 3:4. Both sides trade goals freely and concede just as readily.
The model's scorelines
The three most likely outcomes are all high-scoring: 3:3 at 5%, 3:2 at 5%, and 2:3 at 5%. The 95% chance of three or more goals reinforces the picture of an open game.
A low-scoring affair would break this conclusion. If Hershey's defence tightens or Texas struggle to create chances, the 92% figure collapses. But given both teams' recent defensive records—conceding 16 and 19 goals respectively—neither side is expected to shut up shop.