HL Anyang vs Red Eagles Hokkaido: match prediction on 6 October 2026

Red Eagles Hokkaido to win. The visitors have won four of the last six meetings between these sides, took a 6-4 victory away from home on 4 October, and the model expects them to score 3.2 goals to HL Anyang's 2.8. The most likely scoreline is 2:3.

HL Anyang have taken only two wins from their last five games, conceding five more goals than they scored across that run. Their last two matches were both against Red Eagles, and they lost one and won one — but the 6-4 defeat away on 4 October tells more of the story than the 3-2 home win two days earlier. Red Eagles, meanwhile, have three wins from five, including victories over Yokohama Grits at home and the win at Anyang. They have scored four more goals than they conceded in that period.

The head-to-head record shows 48 matches played, with HL Anyang holding a 26-22 advantage overall. But that picture shifts when you look at the last six meetings. Red Eagles have won four of them, including both matches this season. The 0-3 defeat at home on 29 March and the 4-7 loss three days later are part of that run, as is the 6-1 loss away on 3 March. Only two of those six were wins for HL Anyang.

The model expects 2.8 goals for HL Anyang and 3.2 for Red Eagles. The draw probability sits at 17%. Both teams to score is 91%, and 3 or more goals 94%. The three most likely scorelines are 2:3, 3:3, and 2:2 — each at 5%. The 2:3 scoreline edges the others, and it is the one that supports a Red Eagles victory.

This conclusion stops holding if HL Anyang's home performance diverges significantly from their recent away form. They have lost three of their last five matches, two of them away, but one win came at home against Red Eagles. If the home advantage proves stronger than the recent pattern suggests, or if Red Eagles' away record proves weaker than their last five results indicate, the visitors' edge disappears. The model figures are based on goals scored and conceded — they know nothing of injuries or fixture fatigue, both of which could shift the balance.