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Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Izhevsk vs Khimik: match prediction on 11 September 2026
Izhevsk
Khimik
Prediction for
Win: Khimik
58%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
26%
1
16%
X
58%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 15:40- Ижевск — 25. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
- Химик — 20. place, 0 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Ижевск, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Химик, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 13 games, Ижевск — 4, Химик — 9
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Izhevsk
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Khimik
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 17
4Izhevsk
0Draw
13Khimik
- 2 AprKhimik — Izhevsk2:1
- 30 MarIzhevsk — Khimik1:4
- 28 MarIzhevsk — Khimik2:5
- 25 MarKhimik — Izhevsk0:3
- 23 MarKhimik — Izhevsk4:2
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 15:40Khimik to win. The visitors arrive in Nizhny Novgorod region with five straight victories and a head-to-head record that has seen them dominate Izhevsk across thirteen meetings. Izhevsk have lost both matches this season, and the model expects Khimik to outscore them 3.2 to 2.2.
Khimik have won five straight. They scored 21 goals and conceded just eight. Izhevsk's record in the same window is two wins and three losses, with 16 goals for and 14 against. The difference in efficiency is visible in the scorelines: Khimik's 5-1 victory over Olympia on 9 September was their most recent, while Izhevsk's only win in that period came 4-3 against Perm in a friendly.
Of thirteen meetings, Khimik have claimed nine victories compared to Izhevsk's four.
The model projects 5.4 total goals. Both teams to score carries an 85% probability, and there is a 90% chance of three or more goals being scored. The most likely scoreline is 2-3 to Khimik, though 2-2 and 1-3 are close behind. A draw is considered unlikely at just 16%.
Izhevsk's home form could upset the model. They have won three of their last five home matches, including a 3-0 victory over Zvezda Moscow on 9 September. If they can replicate that level of performance and contain Khimik's attack, the visitors' momentum may not be enough. The model does not account for home advantage directly, and Izhevsk's recent home wins show they can compete when playing on their own ice.
Khimik are moving forward with five straight victories, while Izhevsk are searching for their first win of the season. Khimik’s 3.2 xG against Izhevsk’s 2.2 exposes a leaky defence.
The table positions tell a similar story, though with a caveat about sample size. Khimik sit 13th after two matches, Izhevsk 16th after three. The points system in the VHL means these positions do not carry the same weight as they would in a league with 60 games, but the trend is clear. Khimik have taken maximum points from both games, Izhevsk have dropped points in two of three.
No injury news to shift the balance. Without known absences, the form and head-to-head records become the primary drivers of the prediction.