Kuznetskie Medvedi vs Mamonty Yugry: match prediction on 13 September 2026

Mamonty Yugry to win. The visitors hold a clear edge in both recent form and the historical record, and the model projects 3.0 for Mamonty Yugry and 2.3 for the hosts. That gap is enough to back an away victory.

Mamonty Yugry sit fifth in the MHL table after two matches, one win and one loss. They have already faced Molot Perm twice in the league, winning 3-2 and losing 3-5. Their last five games across all competitions show three victories and two defeats, with 15 goals scored and 14 conceded. Kuznetskie Medvedi have played no official MHL fixtures this season and sit seventh.

The hosts' recent run tells a different story. In their last five matches — all friendlies — they managed only one win against four losses. They scored 10 goals and conceded 20, including a 2-7 defeat away to Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk on 29 August. They did beat Omskie Yastreby 2-1 on 28 August, but that result came in a friendly played away from home. The rest of the outings ended in defeats.

Mamonty Yugry have dominated this fixture over the years. Of 17 meetings recorded in recent history, they have won 12 while Kuznetskie Medvedi have taken five. The last six matches show a more even split with three wins apiece, but the most recent encounters at the hosts' stadium went against them. Kuznetskie Medvedi lost 2-3 on 5 December 2025 and 1-7 on 4 December 2025.

The most likely scoreline is 2-3, which the model places at 6%. A 2-2 draw also sits at 6%, while 1-3 comes in at 5%. The draw probability stands at 17%, with both teams to score at 85% and three or more goals at 90%. The model expects a high-scoring affair, and Mamonty Yugry's attack looks sharper.

That figure holds only if Kuznetskie Medvedi can match the visitors' intensity from the opening whistle. A draw suits the hosts — and given how they have struggled to contain opposition attacks in friendlies, that is the main threat to the prediction.

Mamonty Yugry to win

Mamonty Yugry carry the momentum into this MHL clash. They sit fifth in the table after two league matches, having already tested themselves against Molot Perm twice. Their last five games across all competitions produced three wins and two losses, with 15 goals scored and 14 conceded. Kuznetskie Medvedi have played no official MHL fixtures this season and occupy seventh place with zero points to their name.

The hosts' recent form offers little comfort. In five friendlies they managed only one victory, losing four times. They scored 10 goals and conceded 20, including a heavy 2-7 defeat away to Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk. That single win came against Omskie Yastreby 2-1 on 28 August, but the rest of the run was a struggle to find consistency.

Mamonty Yugry have the edge in the historical record. Of 17 meetings over recent years they have won 12 compared to 5 for Kuznetskie Medvedi. The last six matches show three wins each, but the two most recent encounters at the hosts' arena ended in defeats — 2-3 and 1-7 in December 2025.

The model expects 3 goals for Mamonty Yugry and 2.3 for Kuznetskie Medvedi. The most probable scoreline is 2-3 at 6%, with a 2-2 draw also at 6% and 1-3 at 5%. The draw probability sits at 17%, both teams to score at 85%, and three or more goals at 90%.

That conclusion stops holding if Kuznetskie Medvedi can match the visitors' intensity from the opening whistle. A draw suits the hosts, and given their recent defensive frailties in friendlies, that remains the main threat to the prediction.