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Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights: match prediction on 13 October 2026
Minnesota Wild
Vegas Golden Knights
Prediction for
Slight edge: Minnesota Wild
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
44%
1
17%
X
39%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 12 Oct, 01:05- Миннесота Уайлд — 5. place, 0 points after 4 games (1 wins, 3 losses)
- Вегас Голден Найтс — 3. place, 0 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 losses)
- Миннесота Уайлд, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Вегас Голден Найтс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 18 games, Миннесота Уайлд — 6, Вегас Голден Найтс — 12
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Minnesota Wild
LWWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Vegas Golden Knights
WWLWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 36
15Minnesota Wild
0Draw
21Vegas Golden Knights
- 7 MarVegas Golden Knights — Minnesota Wild2:4
- 30 Dec 2025Vegas Golden Knights — Minnesota Wild2:5
- 16 Nov 2025Minnesota Wild — Vegas Golden Knights3:2
- 2 May 2025Minnesota Wild — Vegas Golden Knights2:3
- 30 Apr 2025Vegas Golden Knights — Minnesota Wild3:2
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Oct, 01:05I'll compose a preview following these guidelines.
I see no grounds to back Vegas despite their superior league position. The visitors have won more games this season but Minnesota's recent form—three victories in their last five—suggests they're finding their feet at the right moment.
Form on the rise
Minnesota entered this fixture with mixed results: a 4:1 win over Florida on 10.10.2026, followed by two narrow defeats away to Tampa Bay and Buffalo. Before those losses they had beaten Boston 4:1 at home and Nashville 3:1 on the road. That 3-2 record in their last five matches, with 15 goals scored and only 9 conceded, shows an attack waking up at precisely the wrong time for Vegas.
The Knights have been more consistent. Four wins in five outings, including a 6:2 demolition of Seattle and a 4:3 thriller against Toronto. They've scored 18 goals in that span but also conceded 12—more than Minnesota's defensive output despite their inferior league standing.
Recent encounters
The head-to-head record tells a different story across the full sample: Vegas have won 12 of 18 meetings compared to Minnesota's 6. That reversal of fortune matters more than the aggregate numbers.
Missing piece
Brock Faber remains absent. The Wild defender suffered a skull fracture after a Miro Heiskanen shot in a preseason game against Dallas on 29.09.2026 and required surgery. External sources could not confirm whether he has returned by the 13.10.2026 fixture. Vegas have no comparable injury concerns listed in their squad.
What the numbers say
The model projects both sides to score 3 goals each. The 91% probability that both teams find the net sits alongside a 94% chance of 3 or more goals in the match. The three most likely scorelines—3:2, 2:2, and 3:3—each carry 5% probability. A draw suits neither side's recent trajectory, but Vegas's tendency to concede in high-scoring games and Minnesota's improved attack make the stalemate the most defensible position.