Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Perm vs SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: match prediction on 9 September 2026
Perm
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
Prediction for
Win: Perm
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
53%
1
19%
X
28%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 15:03- Пермь — 10. place, 0 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Пермь, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- СКА-ВМФ Санкт-Петербург, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Пермь — 2, СКА-ВМФ Санкт-Петербург — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Perm
LLWWW
3 wins · 2 losses
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
LWWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 2
2Perm
0Draw
0SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 15:03Pick: Perm to win. Model backs them at 53%, riding two clean sheets over SKA-VMF and a 2.5-1.8 xG edge.
Perm have taken two wins from five outings, scoring eight and conceding nine across that span. Their most recent result was a 2:1 victory away at Toros Neftekamsk on 3 September. SKA-VMF St. Petersburg sit slightly higher with three wins from five, netting 12 goals while letting in 13. Their last outing ended 5:3 against Toros Neftekamsk on 7 September.
Perm's away form mirrors that pattern with three losses in five, yet the head-to-head record cuts against them.
These sides met twice this season. SKA-VMF St. Petersburg hosted on 30 January 2026 and lost 4:2. Perm then won 2:1 at home on 21 October 2025. The visitors have not won here in two attempts, and the pattern does not suggest a shift.
Perm's dominance in this pairing outweighs their current league position. SKA-VMF St. Petersburg's recent away results include a 3:1 loss to SKA St. Petersburg and a 5:3 defeat to Toros Neftekamsk, both in the VHL.
The simulation projects 2.5 goals for Perm and 1.8 for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg. A 19% draw probability sits alongside a 77% chance both teams score. The three most likely scorelines are 2:1 at 8%, 2:2 at 7%, and 3:1 at 6%. Eighty-one percent of simulations produce three or more goals combined.
The model does not account for injuries or tactical changes, only historical goal patterns.
When the pick fails
If SKA-VMF park the bus and kill time, they grind a point. A first-period strike flips it; Perm chase, space opens.