ELJ
Jihlava U20
Slavia Praha U20
Prediction for Jihlava U20 — Slavia Praha U20
47%
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Plzeň U20 vs Mountfield HK U20: match prediction on 2 October 2026
Plzeň U20
Mountfield HK U20
Prediction for
Win: Plzeň U20
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
57%
1
16%
X
27%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Oct, 16:10- Пльзень U20 — 9. place, 0 points after 6 games (3 wins, 3 losses)
- Маунтфилд ХК U20 — 12. place, 0 points after 8 games (3 wins, 5 losses)
- Пльзень U20, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Маунтфилд ХК U20, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 22 games, Пльзень U20 — 15, Маунтфилд ХК U20 — 7
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Plzeň U20
WWLWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Mountfield HK U20
LLWWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 30
20Plzeň U20
0Draw
10Mountfield HK U20
- 13 FebPlzeň U20 — Mountfield HK U205:2
- 10 FebMountfield HK U20 — Plzeň U203:4
- 16 JanMountfield HK U20 — Plzeň U204:2
- 28 Nov 2025Plzeň U20 — Mountfield HK U205:0
- 27 Feb 2025Plzeň U20 — Mountfield HK U205:1
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Oct, 16:10Plzeň U20 to win. The model puts their expected goals at 3.4 against Mountfield HK U20's 2.6, and the history backs that up: Plzeň have won five of the last six meetings, including two 5:1 and 5:0 results this season alone.
Both sides arrive with identical recent records. Plzeň U20 have taken 6 points from 15 available in their last five games,, but also beating Vítkovice U20 5:2 and Kladno U20 7:1. Mountfield HK U20 mirror that pattern exactly — 2 wins and 3 losses, scoring 18 goals and conceding 17. Their last five include an 8:1 home victory over Liberec Bílí Tygři U20 and a 1:7 drubbing away at Pardubice Dynamo U20. The numbers look the same, but the quality of opposition differs.
The head-to-head tells a clearer story.. The most recent meeting on 13 February 2026 ended 5:2 at Plzeň's ground, and before that Mountfield HK U20 lost 3:4 at home on 10 February. The only win for Mountfield HK U20 in this period came 4:2 on 16 January 2026. Plzeň U20's home record against them is particularly strong — four wins from four home meetings.
In the table, both teams sit in the bottom two. Plzeň U20 occupy 12th place after 7 matches with 3 wins and 4 losses. Mountfield HK U20 trail in 13th after 9 games, with 3 wins and 6 losses. Neither side has accumulated any points — the ELJ uses a system where draws yield nothing, and both teams have played zero draws so far. The gap between them is minimal, but Plzeň U20 have played fewer matches and carried the momentum from their recent form.
The model does not expect a tight affair. It gives 94% probability for 3 or more goals and 90% for both teams to score. The most likely scoreline is 3:2 at 5%, followed by 2:2 and 4:2, also at 5% each. The draw probability sits at just 16%, which aligns with the head-to-head pattern — five of the last six meetings produced a winner.
A draw suits Mountfield HK U20 more than Plzeň U20. If the visitors manage to absorb pressure and run the clock down, that 16% probability becomes the match outcome. It is the only scenario that breaks the conclusion.