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Red Mashine vs Krylya Sovetov Moskva: match prediction on 8 September 2026

MHL V.V. Petrov Arena Krasnogorsk Miss Match page
Red Mashine Krylya Sovetov Moskva

Prediction for

Win: Krylya Sovetov Moskva

73%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

15% 1
12% X
73% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 6 Sep, 17:02

Krylya have won all four meetings, outscoring Red Mashine 21-10. The visitors have won all four meetings between these sides this season, and the model projects a 4.1-goal average for them against Red Mashine's 2. The conclusion stops holding if Red Mashine can contain the first period, when Krylya Sovetov have typically struck hardest.

The most recent meeting on 8 February 2026 ended 3:4 in Moscow's favour. Red Mashine have not managed a single victory in this fixture.

Red Mashine have won two of their last five matches, losing three. They scored 6 goals and conceded 10 across those fixtures. All were friendlies except a 0:0 draw with Atlant in March 2026. Krylya Sovetov Moscow have lost all five of their recent games. They scored 9 goals and conceded 22. The defeats came against Krasnaya Armiya (1:5), MHC Spartak MAX twice (2:3 and 4:5), Loko (2:4), and Amurskie Tigry (0:5).

The model expects Red Mashine to score 2 goals and Krylya Sovetov Moscow 4.1. The probability of a draw stands at 12%. The model puts both sides scoring at 85%. More than three goals are expected in 94% of simulated versions. The three most likely scorelines are 2:4, 1:4, and 2:3, each at 5%.

Both teams sit at 0 points after 0 competitive matches recorded in the standings. Red Mashine are listed in 7th position, Krylya Sovetov Moscow in 2nd. Only friendlies and past meetings feed the projection.

A draw would suit Red Mashine's approach if they can absorb pressure and limit shots. Krylya Sovetov have a habit of controlling tempo in later periods, and if Red Mashine can stay compact and force the visitors into low-percentage attempts, the model's expectation of 4.1 goals could fall short.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 6 Sep, 17:02
  • Ред Машин, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Крылья Советов Москва, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Ред Машин — 0, Крылья Советов Москва — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Red Mashine WLLLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Krylya Sovetov Moskva WLWLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 4

0Red Mashine 0Draw 4Krylya Sovetov Moskva
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+