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70%
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Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk vs Omskie Yastreby: match prediction on 11 October 2026
Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk
Omskie Yastreby
Prediction for
Win: Omskie Yastreby
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
31%
1
17%
X
52%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 10 Oct, 07:05- Сибирские Снайперы Новосибирск — 2. place, 0 points after 10 games (7 wins, 3 losses)
- Омские Ястребы — 9. place, 0 points after 11 games (4 wins, 7 losses)
- Сибирские Снайперы Новосибирск, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Омские Ястребы, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 24 games, Сибирские Снайперы Новосибирск — 6, Омские Ястребы — 18
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Omskie Yastreby
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 37
10Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk
0Draw
27Omskie Yastreby
- 19 SepOmskie Yastreby — Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk3:2
- 4 AugOmskie Yastreby — Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk3:2
- 10 AprOmskie Yastreby — Sibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk3:1
- 8 AprSibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk — Omskie Yastreby4:3
- 7 AprSibirskie Snaipery Novosibirsk — Omskie Yastreby2:4
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 10 Oct, 07:05The model predicts Omskie Yastreby to win. The visitors have won four of the last six meetings, including the most recent one, and the model expects them to score more goals than their hosts despite Snaipery's superior league position. 65%
Omskie Yastreby arrive with a record that belies their ninth-place standing. The most recent encounter on 19 September ended 3-2 to Yastreby in MHL play, and they have not lost to Snaipery since April 2024.
Snaipery sit top of the table after ten matches with seven wins and three defeats, yet their recent form offers little comfort. They have won three and lost two of their last five, all on the road, with goals for and against standing at 14-13. The pattern of results is volatile: a 5-3 win followed by a 0-3 defeat, then 4-2 and 1-4 before closing with 4-1.
The model expects 2.4 goals for Snaipery and 3.0 for Yastreby across the match. That expectation aligns with the head-to-head record where Yastreby have been the more prolific side in recent meetings. The probability of both teams scoring stands at 87%, and 91% of simulated versions produce three or more goals in total. The three most likely scorelines are 2-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%), and 1-2 (5%).
Yastreby's away form has been mixed but not without promise. In their last five matches they have won two and lost three, with goals for and against also at 14-13. Two victories came against Avto, both away, while defeats fell to Belye Medvedi and Kuznetskie Medvedi. The away record suggests they can compete but are vulnerable to teams that can punish defensive lapses.
A draw suits neither side in practice, though it remains the least likely outcome at 18%. The model's figures point toward a game where Yastreby's attacking output edges past Snaipery's. A scoreline of 2-3 or 1-2 covers both possibilities where the visitors take the points. The main threat to this conclusion is if Snaipery's home advantage and top-of-the-table position translate into a performance that defies the recent head-to-head trend.