Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
Read more
SKA St. Petersburg vs Dynamo Moscow: match prediction on 7 September 2026
SKA St. Petersburg
Dynamo Moscow
Prediction for
Win: SKA St. Petersburg
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
43%
1
17%
X
39%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 17:42- СКА Санкт-Петербург, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Динамо Москва, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 24 games, СКА Санкт-Петербург — 12, Динамо Москва — 12
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
SKA St. Petersburg
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Dynamo Moscow
WWLLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 27
14SKA St. Petersburg
0Draw
13Dynamo Moscow
- 8 Nov 2025Dynamo Moscow — SKA St. Petersburg2:3
- 4 Nov 2025SKA St. Petersburg — Dynamo Moscow1:2
- 6 Apr 2025SKA St. Petersburg — Dynamo Moscow2:5
- 4 Apr 2025Dynamo Moscow — SKA St. Petersburg3:4
- 2 Apr 2025SKA St. Petersburg — Dynamo Moscow4:5
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 17:42SKA St. Petersburg to win at 43% confidence. The hosts have won every game this pre-season, scoring 15 goals in five matches while conceding just six. Dynamo Moscow lost their only KHL outing of the season, a 1:2 defeat away to Yekaterinburg on 5 September. That result sits alongside four friendlies where they showed attacking intent but also defensive vulnerability.
SKA's unbeaten run
SKA have played five matches, all at home, and won all five. The scores read 4:3, 3:1, 3:0, 2:1 and 3:1. They have not conceded more than one goal in any of those fixtures. Their defensive structure has held firm across friendlies and competitive matches alike.
Dynamo Moscow's record is less clean. They won four of five, lost one, and kept no clean sheets. Before that loss they had won 4:1 at Dinamo Minsk, 5:2 against Yekaterinburg in a friendly, and two matches against Nizhny Novgorod, both 5:2 and 3:2. Their goals have come regularly, but so have their concessions.
Head-to-head balance
The last six meetings have split evenly: three wins each. In April 2025, Dynamo took two wins from four games, including a 5:2 victory at SKA's arena. The pattern shows neither side dominates the other, but SKA have been slightly more consistent in recent encounters.
The model expects 2.8 goals from SKA and 2.7 from Dynamo. The draw probability sits at 17%, while both teams scoring comes in at 88%. Three or more goals are expected in 91% of simulated matches. The most likely scoreline is 2:2 at 6%, followed by 3:2 and 2:3 each at 5%. These figures reflect the attacking nature of both sides and the lack of defensive solidity on either flank.
This conclusion stops holding if Dynamo Moscow's goalkeeper produces a match-saving performance or if SKA suffer an early injury to a key forward. A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down in tight games, that is the main threat. The model's expectations assume both teams play their usual style, which may not happen if one side decides to park the bus.