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Slovakia Women vs France W: match prediction on 2 October 2026

Friendly International - Women Zimný štadión Ondreja Nepelu Bratislava Hit Match page
Slovakia Women France W

Prediction for

Win: Slovakia Women

67%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

67% 1
15% X
18% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 06:50

Slovakia Women are the favourites to win this friendly against France W on 2 October 2026. The model places Slovakia's expected goals at 3.2 to France's 1.9, and the most likely scorelines—3:1, 2:1, 3:2—all point to a home victory.

Both sides arrive in identical form. Slovakia have won four of their last five matches, scoring 24 goals and conceding seven. Their recent results include an 8:0 victory over Netherlands W and a 5:1 win against Italy W, both at home. France have also won four of five, netting 20 goals while letting in seven. They beat Norway W 5:1 at home and won 2:1 away at Hungary W, though they suffered a 3:2 defeat to Germany W on 20 August 2026.

On 18 April 2026, France W defeated Slovakia Women 3:1 in a WCH IA Women fixture.

The 81% probability that both teams score and the 88% chance of three or more goals indicate an open game. The three most likely scorelines all involve Slovakia scoring at least two, with France finding the net once or twice.

A draw would break this prediction. At 17% probability it is unlikely, but not impossible. If France manage to contain Slovakia's early pressure and exploit transitions, a stalemate becomes plausible.

Outcome: Slovakia Women to win. Confidence: 65%.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 06:50
  • Словакия, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Франция, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, Словакия — 4, Франция — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Slovakia Women WWLWW 4 wins · 1 loss
France W WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 11

4Slovakia Women 0Draw 7France W
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+