Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Snezhnye Barsy Astana vs Loko-76: match prediction on 14 September 2026
Snezhnye Barsy Astana
Loko-76
Prediction for
Win: Loko-76
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
16%
1
13%
X
71%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 14:33- Снежные Барсы Астана — 6. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
- Локо-76 — 5. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Снежные Барсы Астана, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Локо-76, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 11 games, Снежные Барсы Астана — 2, Локо-76 — 9
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Snezhnye Barsy Astana
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Loko-76
LWLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 11
2Snezhnye Barsy Astana
0Draw
9Loko-76
- 18 MarLoko-76 — Snezhnye Barsy Astana3:1
- 17 MarLoko-76 — Snezhnye Barsy Astana8:3
- 7 Oct 2025Snezhnye Barsy Astana — Loko-761:3
- 11 Mar 2025Snezhnye Barsy Astana — Loko-763:6
- 10 Mar 2025Snezhnye Barsy Astana — Loko-763:2
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 14:33Loko-76 to win. The model puts their expected goals at 3.9 against Snezhnye Barsy Astana's 2, and the head-to-head record makes the margin clear: Loko-76 have won 9 of 11 meetings.
Snezhnye Barsy Astana's recent matches tell a simple story. They lost their last two MHL games 2:3 and 1:4 to AKM-Junior at home. Before that came a 3:2 friendly win and two losses in August. The pattern is four defeats in five games, with 9 goals scored and 14 conceded. They sit 6th after two matches with no wins and no points.
Loko-76 have been more volatile but more effective. Their last five included two victories and three defeats, scoring 15 goals while letting in 21. The most recent result was a 2:1 home win over Belye Medvedi, though they had just suffered a 3:9 loss to the same side the day before. They are 5th in the table after two matches, also on 0 points but with one win to their name.
Snezhnye Barsy Astana's only recent success came on 10 March 2025 when they won 3:2 at home. In the last six encounters the tally stands at 5 wins for Loko-76 against 1 for Astana.
Both teams occupy 7th place in the standings after two matches each, tied on 0 points with identical records of one win and one loss in the league phase. The early season context means these standings carry little weight beyond the immediate fixture, as the league format involves a preliminary group stage before the playoffs.
The probability of 3 or more goals in the match stands at 94%, and both teams to score is 85%. The three most likely scorelines are 2:3, 2:4, and 1:3, each at 5%. A draw probability of 13% makes the away victory the clear favourite.
Snezhnye Barsy Astana's home record in recent matches shows vulnerability. They lost 2:3 and 1:4 at home to AKM-Junior in the MHL, and have conceded heavily in most fixtures. Loko-76's attack has produced 15 goals in five games, including a 5:2 friendly win over Almaz. The model's expectation of nearly 4 goals for the visitors reflects this firepower.