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Sparta Prague U20 vs Slavia Praha U20: match prediction on 11 September 2026

ELJ Univerzitní zimní stadion Strahov Prague Hit Match page
Sparta Prague U20 Slavia Praha U20

Prediction for

Win: Sparta Prague U20

53%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

53% 1
16% X
31% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 17:20

Sparta Prague U20 win. The model gives them 53% confidence, and the numbers behind it are hard to argue with. Slavia lost 3-5 at home to Jihlava U20 on 5 September, then beat České Budějovice U20 2-0 at home the day before. Sparta won 6-5 away at Poruba HC U20 and 4-3 away at Kometa Brno U20 on consecutive days.

The gap between them in the standings is eight positions after just two matches. Sparta have won all six encounters since the start of 2024.

Both sides have three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Sparta scored 15 goals and conceded 14. Slavia scored 21 and conceded 13. The difference is where those results came against. Sparta's losses were to Karlovy Vary U20 1-2 and Plzeň U20 2-3 in friendlies. Slavia's losses were to Jihlava U20 3-5 and to Sparta Prague U20 1-2 away in a friendly.

The model expects a high-scoring game. Sparta Prague U20 are projected for 3.4 goals, Slavia Praha U20 for 2.7. The model projects a 90% chance of both teams scoring and a 94% hit rate on over 3.5 goals. The sharpest reads are 3-2, 3-3, and 2-2, each at 5%. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five matches combined.

The edge vanishes if Slavia replicate their recent away form. They scored 10 goals in a 10-3 win away at Zlin U20 on 26 March and 5-3 away at Mountfield HK U20 on 28 March. If they replicate that kind of output against Sparta's defence, the 53% confidence shifts towards a draw or a visitors' win.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 17:20
  • Спарта Прага U20 — 3. place, 0 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
  • Славия Прага U20 — 9. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Спарта Прага U20, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Славия Прага U20, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, Спарта Прага U20 — 7, Славия Прага U20 — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Sparta Prague U20 LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Slavia Praha U20 WLWLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 13

11Sparta Prague U20 0Draw 2Slavia Praha U20
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+