Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Sparta Prague U20
Slavia Praha U20
Prediction for
Win: Sparta Prague U20
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 13
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 17:20Sparta Prague U20 win. The model gives them 53% confidence, and the numbers behind it are hard to argue with. Slavia lost 3-5 at home to Jihlava U20 on 5 September, then beat České Budějovice U20 2-0 at home the day before. Sparta won 6-5 away at Poruba HC U20 and 4-3 away at Kometa Brno U20 on consecutive days.
The gap between them in the standings is eight positions after just two matches. Sparta have won all six encounters since the start of 2024.
Both sides have three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Sparta scored 15 goals and conceded 14. Slavia scored 21 and conceded 13. The difference is where those results came against. Sparta's losses were to Karlovy Vary U20 1-2 and Plzeň U20 2-3 in friendlies. Slavia's losses were to Jihlava U20 3-5 and to Sparta Prague U20 1-2 away in a friendly.
The model expects a high-scoring game. Sparta Prague U20 are projected for 3.4 goals, Slavia Praha U20 for 2.7. The model projects a 90% chance of both teams scoring and a 94% hit rate on over 3.5 goals. The sharpest reads are 3-2, 3-3, and 2-2, each at 5%. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five matches combined.
The edge vanishes if Slavia replicate their recent away form. They scored 10 goals in a 10-3 win away at Zlin U20 on 26 March and 5-3 away at Mountfield HK U20 on 28 March. If they replicate that kind of output against Sparta's defence, the 53% confidence shifts towards a draw or a visitors' win.