Steaua Bucuresti vs Fenestela: match prediction on 13 September 2026

Steaua Bucuresti to win. The model places them ahead at 4.3 expected goals to 3.7, and the home advantage in a tournament where both sides have identical records—two wins, one loss, zero points—tips the balance. A 51% confidence figure sits behind that conclusion.

Steaua have taken four wins from five, scoring 23 goals while conceding 19. Steaua lost 2:5 away to Gyergyoi; Fenestela dropped points twice, including a 3:5 defeat at Brasov.

The last four meetings yielded 28 goals

Twenty-four meetings over recent years give Steaua 16 wins to Fenestela's eight. In the last six fixtures the pattern is mixed. Steaua won 3:0 and 5:1 at home, but lost 2:3 and 3:5 away. The last four meetings yielded 28 goals.

The model expects a high-scoring affair. Both teams to score sits at 96%, three or more goals at 99%. The three most likely scorelines are 4:3, 3:3 and 4:4, each at 4%. Fenestela's attack has been fluent—41 goals in five matches—but their defence has also been exposed. Steaua's defensive record is looser, but they have not kept a clean sheet in their last five outings.

A draw suits the visitors

Steaua need to attack early; if Fenestela sit deep and counter, the model's 4.3 expected goals for the home side could fall short.