ELJ
Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Tolpar vs Belye Medvedi: match prediction on 21 September 2026
Tolpar
Belye Medvedi
Prediction for
Win: Tolpar
47%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
47%
1
16%
X
36%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 14:32- Толпар — 6. place, 0 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 losses)
- Белые Медведи — 5. place, 0 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
- Толпар, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Белые Медведи, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 15 games, Толпар — 10, Белые Медведи — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Tolpar
WWLLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Belye Medvedi
LWLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 28
15Tolpar
0Draw
13Belye Medvedi
- 28 AugTolpar — Belye Medvedi2:1
- 25 JanTolpar — Belye Medvedi6:2
- 10 Nov 2025Tolpar — Belye Medvedi3:2
- 29 Oct 2025Belye Medvedi — Tolpar3:2
- 26 Aug 2025Tolpar — Belye Medvedi5:2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 14:32Tolpar vs Belye Medvedi: Home edge and open play
Tolpar are favourites to take all three points against Belye Medvedi on Sunday, backed by a commanding head-to-head record at home. Over the last fifteen meetings the hosts have won ten times, including a 2:1 victory in the most recent friendly on 28 August.
The home side sit sixth after five matches, having collected nine points from three wins and two defeats. Their attack has been prolific, netting 22 goals while conceding 14. They closed their recent run with a 5:2 win over Kuznetskie Medvedi on 18 September.
Belye Medvedi occupy fifth place after four games, sitting on six points from two victories and two losses. Their away form has been fragile, highlighted by a 0:3 defeat to Avto on 12 September. They also lost 1:2 to Tolpar away in the late summer friendly, and they have yet to recover.
The models expect Tolpar to score 3.4 and Belye Medvedi 3.0. There is a 95% probability of three or more goals being scored, and a 92% chance both sides find the net. The open contest favours the home side, whose recent matches have seen them involved in plenty of scoring opportunities.
Tolpar are the pick at 47%.