Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Toros Neftekamsk vs Dinamo St. Petersburg: match prediction on 9 September 2026
Toros Neftekamsk
Dinamo St. Petersburg
Prediction for
Win: Dinamo St. Petersburg
41%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
41%
1
18%
X
41%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 15:03- Торос Нефтекамск — 18. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
- Динамо Санкт-Петербург — 7. place, 0 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Торос Нефтекамск, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Динамо Санкт-Петербург, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Торос Нефтекамск — 4, Динамо Санкт-Петербург — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Toros Neftekamsk
LWWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Dinamo St. Petersburg
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 14
6Toros Neftekamsk
0Draw
8Dinamo St. Petersburg
- 28 AugDinamo St. Petersburg — Toros Neftekamsk6:3
- 30 JanDinamo St. Petersburg — Toros Neftekamsk1:4
- 21 Oct 2025Toros Neftekamsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg3:4
- 16 Mar 2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — Toros Neftekamsk1:4
- 9 Sep 2024Toros Neftekamsk — Dinamo St. Petersburg0:5
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 15:03Dinamo St. Petersburg win. The model's most likely score is 2:2, but Dinamo's edge comes from the head-to-head record and their sharper start to the VHL campaign.
Dinamo St. Petersburg sit fourth with two wins, zero losses and zero draws. Toros Neftekamsk are ninth with one win and one defeat. Dinamo have not dropped points; Toros have.
Recent form across all competitions shows similarity. Each side has won three and lost two in their last five matches. Dinamo have scored 17 goals and conceded 10, while Toros have 14 goals for and 13 against. The goal difference is seven for Dinamo, one for Toros. Both teams have shown they can score, but Dinamo's defensive record is cleaner.
The head-to-head record over recent years leans heavily toward Dinamo St. Petersburg. In six meetings listed, Dinamo have won four and Toros two. The most recent encounter was a friendly on 28 August 2026, where Dinamo beat Toros 6:3 at home.
The statistical model expects both teams to score 2.6 goals apiece. The chance of both sides netting stands at 86%, and matches with three or more goals total are expected 89% of the time. The most likely scoreline is 2:2 at 6%, followed by 2:3 and 3:2 each at 5%. A draw is the single most probable outcome, but Dinamo's win probability edges ahead because of their head-to-head dominance.
Toros have shown they can compete, particularly in their 4:1 home win over Dinamo earlier this year. If they replicate that defensive solidity and clinical finishing, the away side's advantage evaporates.