Victoriaville Tigres vs Drummondville Voltigeurs: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Drummondville clear favourites despite shaky form

Drummondville Voltigeurs are set to win this match. The model puts their expected goals at 4.1 compared to Victoriaville's 2.7, and the head-to-head record tells a consistent story. Drummondville have won 26 of 36 meetings between these sides, while Victoriaville's 10 victories make them the underdog regardless of current form.

Victoriaville have struggled recently. They lost four of their last five games, scoring just 6 goals while conceding 18. The only win came 31 January against Halifax Mooseheads at home, 3:2. Their other matches show a pattern of heavy defeats — four goals against Rouyn-Noranda, four against Sherbrooke away, and a 2:5 loss at home to Phoenix. They are averaging less than one goal per game in this stretch.

Drummondville's form looks better on paper. Two wins from five games, 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. They beat Shawinigan 7:3 and 6:2 at home in August, though there is a note that August sits outside the QMJHL regular season. Their losses were narrow — 1:5 and 2:3 away to Shawinigan, plus a 2:3 home defeat to Sherbrooke on 7 February. They are scoring freely, even if results have been mixed.

The head-to-head has swung heavily toward Drummondville in recent years. In the last six meetings, they won four and Victoriaville two. The most recent clash on 18 January ended 3:2 to Drummondville.

The model expects a high-scoring game. Both teams to score sits at 92%, and 97% probability of three or more goals. The most likely outcomes are 2:4 and 2:3, each at 5%, with 3:4 at 4%. A draw carries only 14% chance.

This prediction falls apart if Victoriaville's goaltender is fit and playing. The second condition is if Drummondville are resting players for a later fixture.

Victoriaville's recent form does not inspire confidence, and the numbers suggest a game with plenty of goals — which suits Drummondville's attacking style.