Victoriaville Tigres vs Sherbrooke Phoenix: match prediction on 26 September 2026

The probability model had predicted a high-scoring affair, anticipating an average of 3.6 goals for the visitors and 3.2 for the hosts, with a 96% chance of three or more goals.

Before the match, the Phoenix occupied first place with two victories and no losses. The Tigres sat in second place with a record of one win and one loss. The victory extended Sherbrooke’s unbeaten start to the season, a run that included wins against Drummondville and Quebec earlier in September.

Both sides arrived with identical recent form, having recorded three wins and two losses in their previous five matches. Victoriaville’s results included an 8–7 win over Drummondville and a 3–1 victory against the same side in August. Sherbrooke matched this output with a 5–4 win over Drummondville and a 4–1 victory against Quebec. The goal tallies were comparable, with Victoriaville scoring 20 and Sherbrooke 15 across those five fixtures.

The historical balance of power lay with the visitors. Over the last 33 meetings, Sherbrooke Phoenix claimed 20 victories to Victoriaville’s 13. In their most recent encounter on 16 August 2026, the Phoenix won 5–2 away from home. The last six meetings showed Sherbrooke leading 4–2. Prior to this fixture, the probability model suggested a 47% confidence in a Sherbrooke win.

The match took place at 23:00 UTC. No specific arena name or referee details were available in the provided data. The final outcome aligned with the statistical expectation that both teams would score, a scenario predicted with 93% probability. The result confirmed Sherbrooke’s status as the league’s leading side at this stage of the campaign.