Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Victoriaville Tigres vs Sherbrooke Phoenix: match prediction on 26 September 2026
Victoriaville Tigres
Sherbrooke Phoenix
Prediction for
Win: Sherbrooke Phoenix
47%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
37%
1
16%
X
47%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 25 Sep, 00:14- Викториявиль Тигр — 4. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
- Шербрук Феникс — 1. place, 0 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- Викториявиль Тигр, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Шербрук Феникс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 33 games, Викториявиль Тигр — 13, Шербрук Феникс — 20
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Victoriaville Tigres
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Sherbrooke Phoenix
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 45
20Victoriaville Tigres
0Draw
25Sherbrooke Phoenix
- 16 AugVictoriaville Tigres — Sherbrooke Phoenix2:5
- 15 AugSherbrooke Phoenix — Victoriaville Tigres3:1
- 7 FebSherbrooke Phoenix — Victoriaville Tigres4:0
- 31 JanVictoriaville Tigres — Sherbrooke Phoenix4:1
- 19 Dec 2025Victoriaville Tigres — Sherbrooke Phoenix6:5
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 25 Sep, 00:14The probability model had predicted a high-scoring affair, anticipating an average of 3.6 goals for the visitors and 3.2 for the hosts, with a 96% chance of three or more goals.
Before the match, the Phoenix occupied first place with two victories and no losses. The Tigres sat in second place with a record of one win and one loss. The victory extended Sherbrooke’s unbeaten start to the season, a run that included wins against Drummondville and Quebec earlier in September.
Both sides arrived with identical recent form, having recorded three wins and two losses in their previous five matches. Victoriaville’s results included an 8–7 win over Drummondville and a 3–1 victory against the same side in August. Sherbrooke matched this output with a 5–4 win over Drummondville and a 4–1 victory against Quebec. The goal tallies were comparable, with Victoriaville scoring 20 and Sherbrooke 15 across those five fixtures.
The historical balance of power lay with the visitors. Over the last 33 meetings, Sherbrooke Phoenix claimed 20 victories to Victoriaville’s 13. In their most recent encounter on 16 August 2026, the Phoenix won 5–2 away from home. The last six meetings showed Sherbrooke leading 4–2. Prior to this fixture, the probability model suggested a 47% confidence in a Sherbrooke win.
The match took place at 23:00 UTC. No specific arena name or referee details were available in the provided data. The final outcome aligned with the statistical expectation that both teams would score, a scenario predicted with 93% probability. The result confirmed Sherbrooke’s status as the league’s leading side at this stage of the campaign.